Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 3

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday


	Oliveira Hospital		Setúbal

	1	X	2
	2.65	3	2.4
	2.7	2.95	2.55
	2.87	3.08	2.71
	2.72	3.04	2.57	Watch
	2.8	3	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.17)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	2.53 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oliveira Hospital
33.4%

Draw
30.4%

Setúbal
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

30.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oliveira Hospital has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oliveira Hospital's form might have worsened.

Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Setúbal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oliveira Hospital than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oliveira Hospital, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Setúbal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Setúbal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Oliveira Hospital won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Oliveira Hospital won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oliveira Hospital
Portuguese Liga 3
07.04.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Oliveira Hospital	1:2 ✺
02.04.23	Oliveira Hospital - Real SC	1:0 ✺
12.03.23	Oliveira Hospital - Fontinhas	3:2 ✺
05.03.23	Académica Coimbra - Oliveira Hospital	1:0 ✺
24.02.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Oliveira Hospital	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWLL
- Vitoria Setúbal
Portuguese Liga 3
12.04.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Setúbal	1:1 ✺
07.04.23	Setúbal - Real SC	1:0 ✺
02.04.23	Setúbal - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1 ✺
11.03.23	Amora - Setúbal	2:0 ✺
05.03.23	Setúbal - Belenenses	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
05.02.23	Oliveira Hospital - Setúbal	3:1
22.10.22	Setúbal - Oliveira Hospital	5:1
09.02.22	Oliveira Hospital - Setúbal	0:1
28.08.21	Setúbal - Oliveira Hospital	5:2

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