Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 16

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday


	Olivenza		Santa Amalia

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.2	1.93
	3.25	3.15	2.11
	3.35	3.43	1.97
				Watch
	3.45	3.18	2.02
	3.25	3.15	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (2.49)	3.22 ↑ (3.04)	2.03 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olivenza
27%

Draw
28.2%

Santa Amalia
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

29.6%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

30.6%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olivenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Olivenza's form might have worsened.

Santa Amalia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Santa Amalia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olivenza than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Olivenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Santa Amalia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Olivenza - Santa Amalia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Olivenza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Santa Amalia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Santa Amalia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Olivenza won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olivenza FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
15.12.24	Calamonte - Olivenza	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Olivenza - Montijo	1:1 ✺
01.12.24	Villafranca - Olivenza	2:0 ✺
24.11.24	Olivenza - Moralo	4:2 ✺
17.11.24	Diocesano - Olivenza	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTLWL
- CD Santa Amalia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
14.12.24	Santa Amalia - Jerez	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Santa Amalia - Badajoz	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Calamonte - Santa Amalia	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Santa Amalia - Montijo	2:0 ✺
17.11.24	Villafranca - Santa Amalia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.7 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
22.10.17	Santa Amalia - Olivenza	1:1

Olivenza - Santa Amalia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide