Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Santa Amalia		Montijo

	1	X	2
	2.78	2.82	2.52
	2.77	3.02	2.53
	2.75	2.8	2.5
	2.74	2.88	2.5
	2.75	2.9	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↓ (2.83)	2.88 ↑ (2.73)	2.52 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santa Amalia
32.8%

Draw
31.3%

Montijo
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

33.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

33.5%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santa Amalia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Montijo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Amalia than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montijo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Santa Amalia - Montijo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Santa Amalia has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Montijo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Santa Amalia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Santa Amalia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Santa Amalia	4	1	3	0	5:2	3	6
10	Montijo	5	2	0	3	6:8	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Santa Amalia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
04.01.26	Moralo - Santa Amalia	2:0 ✺
20.12.25	Santa Amalia - Diocesano	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Villafranca - Santa Amalia	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Santa Amalia - Don Benito	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Santa Amalia - Jerez	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWWLT
- UD Montijo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
04.01.26	Montijo - Azuaga	2:1 ✺
21.12.25	Gévora - Montijo	1:3 ✺
14.12.25	Montijo - Calamonte	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Puebla de la Calzada - Montijo	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Montijo - Jaraíz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
06.04.25	Montijo - Santa Amalia	1:0
24.11.24	Santa Amalia - Montijo	2:0

Santa Amalia - Montijo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide