Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Final

Date: 27 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Mikheil Meskhi Stadium (Tbilisi)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Georgia	Silk Universal
Germany	Laola1
Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Ukraine	Sport 3
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Iberia 1999		Jagiellonia Białystok

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.7	1.8	Watch
	3.00	3.50	2.25
	3.7	3.85	1.82	Watch
	4.18	3.92	1.83
	3.54	3.8	1.97	Watch
	4.15	3.9	1.75
	4.14	3.83	1.82	Watch
	3.95	3.75	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.81 ↓ (4.3)	3.78 ↑ (3.45)	1.88 ↑ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Iberia 1999
24.8%

Draw
25%

Jagiellonia Białystok
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

25.6%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

25%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Iberia 1999 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Jagiellonia Białystok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iberia 1999 than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jagiellonia Białystok than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.5%	19%	71.4%

Iberia 1999 - Jagiellonia Białystok Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Iberia 1999 will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Jagiellonia will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jagiellonia: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Iberia 1999 (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - under (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Iberia 1999 (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Iberia 1999 (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Makaridze G. (G) 40. Kobuladze G. 25. Amisulashvili A. 4. Selimovic V. 5. Jinjolava J. (C) 6. Dadiani N. 14. Alhassan I. 8. Kardava B. 17. Ende S. 19. Sikharulashvili N. 10. Natchkebia Z.	50. Abramowicz S. (G) 15. Wojtuszek N. 5. Vital B. 4. Kobayashi Y. 23. Montoia G. 11. Imaz J. 6. Romanczuk T. (C) 19. Klynge A. 10. Agbonifo J. 99. Prelec N. 7. Szmyt K.
Substitutes
30. Bochorishvili N. 29. Chikhradze L. 9. Dzagania A. 22. Figueredo S. 23. Kuliyev E. 27. Kutsia G. 18. Lucas Cafe 1. Megrelishvili T. (G)	27. Conceicao R. 8. Drachal D. 72. Jozwiak K. 44. Konstantopoulos A. 85. Kozlowski E. 61. Krasiewicz B. 62. Pankiewicz S. 1. Perchel M. (G) 2. Polak C. 9. Rallis D. 30. Sow O. 17. Sylla Y.
Coaches
Demchenko A.	Siemieniec A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Imaz J. (Penalty Awarded),
35', 1 - 1, Natchkebia Z. ⚽, Sikharulashvili N. (A),
37', Ende S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Agbonifo J. ↓, Sow O. ↑,
60', Alhassan I. 🟨,
64', Ende S. ↓, Dzagania A. ↑,
70', 1 - 2, Klynge A. ⚽, Imaz J. (A),
71', Kobuladze G. ↓, Figueredo S. ↑,
71', Dadiani N. ↓, Kutsia G. ↑,
71', Sikharulashvili N. ↓, Lucas Cafe ↑,
73', Szmyt K. ↓, Conceicao R. ↑,
73', Imaz J. ↓, Krasiewicz B. ↑,
74', Natchkebia Z. 🟨,
78', Prelec N. ↓, Sylla Y. ↑,
78', Romanczuk T. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
78', Makaridze G. ↓, Megrelishvili T. ↑,
84', Jinjolava J. 🟨,

Preview

First leg result: 0-4.

Iberia 1999 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Jagiellonia is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Iberia 1999 has had a series of away games.

Jagiellonia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Iberia 1999 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Jagiellonia: 0.44%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
21	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Iberia 1999
UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Iberia 1999	4:0 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
15.08.26	Torpedo Kutaisi - Iberia 1999	4:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.08.26	Iberia 1999 - Larne	2:1 AET ✺
04.08.26	Larne - Iberia 1999	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.07.26	Slovan Bratislava - Iberia 1999	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLWTT
- Jagiellonia Białystok
UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Iberia 1999	4:0 ✺
13.08.26	Glasgow Rangers - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
09.08.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Widzew Łódź	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Glasgow Rangers	2:1 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
31.07.26	Motor Lublin - Jagiellonia Białystok	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
20.08.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Iberia 1999	4:0

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