Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
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Israel	Sport 2
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Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
North-central-america	ESPN Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV7
Serbia	Arena Premium 4, Arena Sport 4
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Twitch


	Olympique Marseille		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.55
	2.1	3.5	2.98
	2.06	3.6	3.27
	1.94	3.66	3.55	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.8
	2.18	3.62	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.4)	3.53 ↑ (3.25)	3.04 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympique Marseille
43.3%

Draw
26.3%

Aston Villa
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

28.5%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

28.1%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Olympique Marseille - Aston Villa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Aston Villa (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rulli G. (G) 5. Balerdi L. 6. Garcia U. 8. Gomes A. 9. Gouiri A. 10. Greenwood M. 23. Hojbjerg P. 32. Medina F. 62. Murillo M. 25. Rabiot A. 17. Rowe J.	40. Bizot M. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 2. Cash M. 12. Digne L. 53. Hemmings G. 19. Iling Junior S. 17. Malen D. 7. McGinn J. (C) 5. Mings T. 24. Onana A. 41. Ramsey J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Greenwood M. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, McGinn J. ⚽,
31', 🟨,
45+5', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Garcia U. ↓, Egan-Riley C. ↑,
66', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
68', Ramsey J. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
68', Malen D. ↓, Guessand E. ↑,
70', 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Aubameyang P. ⚽,
76', 🟨,
79', 3 - 1, Aubameyang P. ⚽,
84', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Marseille is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aston Villa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Aston Villa has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Olympique Marseille - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
29.07.25	Olympique Marseille - Valencia	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Olympique Marseille - Girona	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Olympique Marseille	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Excelsior Maassluis - Olympique Marseille	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTWTW
- Aston Villa
Club Friendly
06.08.25	Aston Villa - Roma	4:0 ✺
02.08.25	Nashville SC - Aston Villa	2:2 ✺
30.07.25	St. Louis City - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Aston Villa	2:2 ✺
19.07.25	Hansa Rostock - Aston Villa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTWTL

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