Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 9 August 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	14:00	Disney+
Australia	03:00	beIN Connect
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:00	Arena Sport 6
Brazil	14:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Chile	13:00	Disney+
Colombia	12:00	Disney+
Croatia	19:00	Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Hong Kong	01:00	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Indonesia	00:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	20:00	Sport 2
Kosovo	19:00	Arena Premium 4
Laos	00:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Mexico	11:00	Disney+, ESPN
North Central America	—	ESPN Norte
North Macedonia	19:00	MaxTV GO
Peru	12:00	Disney+
Philippines	01:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	18:00	Sport TV7
Serbia	19:00	Arena Premium 4, Arena Sport 4
Singapore	01:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovenia	19:00	Arena Sport 1
Thailand	00:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	13:00	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+
International	17:00	Twitch


	Olympique Marseille		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.6	3.1	Watch
	2.3	3.4	2.55
	2.1	3.5	2.98
	2.06	3.6	3.27
	1.94	3.66	3.55	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.8
	2.18	3.62	3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.4)	3.53 ↑ (3.25)	3.04 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympique Marseille
43.3%

Draw
26.3%

Aston Villa
30.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.5%

28.5%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

28.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Olympique Marseille - Aston Villa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Aston Villa (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rulli G. (G) 5. Balerdi L. 6. Garcia U. 8. Gomes A. 9. Gouiri A. 10. Greenwood M. 23. Hojbjerg P. 32. Medina F. 62. Murillo M. 25. Rabiot A. 17. Rowe J.	40. Bizot M. (G) 26. Bogarde L. 2. Cash M. 12. Digne L. 53. Hemmings G. 19. Iling Junior S. 17. Malen D. 7. McGinn J. (C) 5. Mings T. 24. Onana A. 41. Ramsey J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Greenwood M. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, McGinn J. ⚽,
31', 🟨,
45+5', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Garcia U. ↓, Egan-Riley C. ↑,
66', 🟨,
67', 🟨,
68', Ramsey J. ↓, Buendia E. ↑,
68', Malen D. ↓, Guessand E. ↑,
70', 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Aubameyang P. ⚽,
76', 🟨,
79', 3 - 1, Aubameyang P. ⚽,
84', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
89', 🟨,
90+1', 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Marseille is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aston Villa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aston Villa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Aston Villa has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Olympique Marseille - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
29.07.25	Olympique Marseille - Valencia	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Olympique Marseille - Girona	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	ROC de Charleroi-Marchienne - Olympique Marseille	1:1 ✺
20.07.25	Excelsior Maassluis - Olympique Marseille	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TTWTW
- Aston Villa
Club Friendly
06.08.25	Aston Villa - Roma	4:0 ✺
02.08.25	Nashville SC - Aston Villa	2:2 ✺
30.07.25	St. Louis City - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Aston Villa	2:2 ✺
19.07.25	Hansa Rostock - Aston Villa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTWTL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
UEFA Europa League
05.11.26	Bayer Leverkusen - Olympique Marseille	✺
French Ligue 1
01.11.26	Olympique Marseille - Toulouse	✺
- Aston Villa
UEFA Champions League
03.11.26	Barcelona - Aston Villa	✺
English Premier League
31.10.26	Aston Villa - Fulham	✺

Olympique Marseille - Aston Villa