Match Info

Date: 29 January 2022, Saturday


	Olympique de Médéa		USM Alger

	1	X	2
	6	3.2	1.6
	5.75	3.3	1.58
	5.4	3.35	1.55
	7.24	3.68	1.53
	6	3.4	1.57
	6.2	3.56	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.1 ↑ (4.61)	3.42 ↑ (3.04)	1.56 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympique de Médéa
15%

Draw
26.7%

USM Alger
58.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.9%

30.3%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.7%

24%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique de Médéa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

USM Alger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting USM Alger's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique de Médéa than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for USM Alger than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Olympique de Médéa - USM Alger Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 9).

Médéa has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

USM Alger is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Médéa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match USM Alger is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's USM Alger to win the game is with odds 1.64.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Médéa won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Médéa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique de Médéa
Algerian Ligue 1
25.01.22	Biskra - Olympique de Médéa	2:1 ✺
21.01.22	Olympique de Médéa - Saoura	0:3 ✺
14.01.22	Arbaâ - Olympique de Médéa	4:2 ✺
08.01.22	Olympique de Médéa - Hussein Dey	1:2 ✺
02.01.22	ES Sétif - Olympique de Médéa	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- USM Alger
Algerian Ligue 1
25.01.22	USM Alger - Paradou	2:1 ✺
21.01.22	Constantine - USM Alger	1:1 ✺
16.01.22	USM Alger - MC Alger	1:1 ✺
08.01.22	Tlemcen - USM Alger	0:3 ✺
03.01.22	USM Alger - Magra	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Algerian Coupe de la Ligue
04.06.21	USM Alger - Olympique de Médéa	1:0
Algerian Ligue 1
26.05.21	Olympique de Médéa - USM Alger	1:0
19.12.20	USM Alger - Olympique de Médéa	1:3
11.05.19	USM Alger - Olympique de Médéa	3:1
30.10.18	Olympique de Médéa - USM Alger	1:3
12.04.18	USM Alger - Olympique de Médéa	1:1
03.11.17	Olympique de Médéa - USM Alger	1:1

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