Match Info

JAPAN: J3 LEAGUE - ROUND 6

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Location: NACK5 Stadium Omiya (Saitama)


	Omiya Ardija		Tegevajaro Miyazaki

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.8	5.5
	1.47	3.75	6.5	Watch
	1.52	4.16	6.01
	1.52	4.16	6.01
	1.44	3.9	6
	1.44	4.1	6.31	Watch
	1.5	3.95	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.37)	3.97 ↓ (4)	5.99 ↓ (7.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Omiya Ardija
61.7%

Draw
23%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

22.6%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

21.2%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Omiya Ardija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omiya Ardija than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omiya Ardija, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Omiya Ardija - Tegevajaro Miyazaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Omiya will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tegevajaro Miyazaki will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kasahara T. (G) 22. Motegi R. 34. Murakami Y. 5. Urakami N. 16. Ueda Y. 35. Shimizu Y. 7. Kojima M. 17. Nakano K. 23. Sugimoto K. 45. Taneda H. 42. Fujii K.	55. Aoki K. (G) 2. Aoyama I. 33. Kuroki K. 4. Obu S. 15. Tsujioka Y. 20. Ano M. 22. Tanaka J. 5. Sakai S. 7. Uozato N. 41. Ueno Y. 11. Hashimoto K.
Substitutes
6. Ishikawa T. 14. Izumi T. 21. Kato Y. (G) 11. Nakano S. 46. Nuki M. 49. Osawa T. 20. Shimoguchi W.	3. Dai K. 14. Eguchi R. 38. Kusunoki D. 57. Ueda S. (G) 16. Yoshida T. 36. Yoshinaga S. 18. Yoshizawa S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Motegi R. ⚽, Sugimoto K. (A),
25', 2 - 0, Sugimoto K. ⚽, Nakano K. (A),
39', 3 - 0, Sugimoto K. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sakai S. ↓, Eguchi R. ↑,
46', Tsujioka Y. ↓, Yoshida T. ↑,
46', Shimizu Y. ↓, Ishikawa T. ↑,
46', Taneda H. ↓, Izumi T. ↑,
63', Ueda Y. ↓, Shimoguchi W. ↑,
63', Ueno Y. ↓, Yoshizawa S. ↑,
63', Ano M. ↓, Kusunoki D. ↑,
76', 3 - 1, Hashimoto K. ⚽,
82', Aoyama I. ↓, Yoshinaga S. ↑,
90+3', Eguchi R. 🟨,

Preview

Omiya in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tegevajaro Miyazaki is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Tegevajaro Miyazaki have a series of home games.

In this match Omiya is indisputable favorite.

Our prediction for today's Omiya to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RB Omiya Ardija
Japan J3 League
20.03.24	Sagamihara - Omiya Ardija	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Omiya Ardija - Nara Club	2:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
13.03.24	Gifu - Omiya Ardija	1:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
02.03.24	Omiya Ardija - Gifu	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Omiya Ardija - Vanraure Hachinohe	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWWW
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J3 League
20.03.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Azul Claro Numazu	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:2 ✺
09.03.24	Gainare Tottori - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
06.03.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Fagiano Okayama	1:4 ✺
Japan J3 League
02.03.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Fukushima United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLTLL

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