Match Info

J3 League - Round 13

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Unilever Stadium Shintomi (Miyazaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tegevajaro Miyazaki		Zweigen Kanazawa

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.45
	2.6	3.15	2.49
	2.66	3.22	2.63
	2.66	3.23	2.63	Watch
	2.6	3	2.5
	2.58	3.1	2.51	Watch
	2.6	3.15	2.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↓ (2.75)	3.14 ↓ (3.3)	2.53 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
35%

Draw
29%

Zweigen Kanazawa
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

27.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

27%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Zweigen Kanazawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zweigen Kanazawa than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Zweigen Kanazawa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tegevajaro Miyazaki will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Kanazawa will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Lee Chung-won (G) 24. Matsumoto Y. 33. Kuroki K. 35. Egawa G. 39. Shimokawa Y. 50. Yasuda K. 47. Okumura K. 20. Ano M. 18. Yoshizawa S. 10. Inoue R. 11. Hashimoto K.	21. Yamanoi T. (G) 4. Matsumoto D. 38. Yamamoto N. 20. Nagakura H. 25. Kojima M. 15. Nishiya Y. 8. Oyama K. 14. Ishihara T. 49. Osawa T. 24. Nishiya K. 10. Patric
Substitutes
40. Ando R. 55. Aoki K. (G) 34. Kawai T. 42. Matsumoto K. 13. Nakano K. 6. Okuma K. 41. Sakai S. 45. Tanaka S. 25. Yokokubo K.	6. Jari J. 17. Kato T. 5. Sakurai F. 41. Shimada S. 23. Shinomiya Y. 1. Shirai Y. (G) 11. Sugiura K. 9. Toshida Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Nishiya Y. 🟨,
25', Ano M. 🟨,
36', Yasuda K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Nishiya Y. 🟨,
61', Matsumoto Y. 🟨,
65', Nishiya K. ↓, Shimada S. ↑,
65', Patric ↓, Toshida Y. ↑,
65', Osawa T. ↓, Sakurai F. ↑,
67', Yoshizawa S. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
70', Shimokawa Y. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Hashimoto K. ⚽,
85', Inoue R. ↓, Sakai S. ↑,
86', Ishihara T. ↓, Sugiura K. ↑,
86', Kojima M. ↓, Kato T. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 1, Toshida Y. ⚽,
90+6', Yamamoto N. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 9).

Tegevajaro Miyazaki is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kanazawa has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Zweigen Kanazawa - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.47%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J3 League
06.05.25	Nara Club - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kochi United	3:2 ✺
20.04.25	Ryūkyū - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Gainare Tottori	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWTWT
- Zweigen Kanazawa
Japan J3 League
06.05.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Zweigen Kanazawa	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Tochigi - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Nara Club	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
06.10.24	Zweigen Kanazawa - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:1
16.03.24	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:2

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