Match Info

Conference League - Qualification - Final

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Elbasan Arena (Elbasani)

Referee: Visser L. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Albania	SuperSport 1
Austria	Laola1
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2
Germany	Laola1
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Dinamo City		Paphos

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.25	1.95	Watch
	3.80	3.20	1.90
	3.95	3.2	1.92
	4.01	3.32	2
	4.04	3.45	1.94	Watch
	3.9	3.25	1.85
	4.2	3.48	1.94	Watch
	3.8	3.3	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↑ (2.6)	3.31 ↑ (3.06)	1.93 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dinamo City
23.8%

Draw
28.1%

Paphos
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

29.4%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

28.1%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dinamo City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dinamo City's form might have worsened.

Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paphos's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dinamo City than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dinamo City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paphos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	11.5%	80.8%

Dinamo City - Paphos Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Dinamo City will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). Paphos will win (votes: 21 - 80.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 11.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paphos: 65.7% – 95.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
77. Teqja A. (G) 2. Ismaili U. 22. Dita B. (C) 27. Aliji N. 13. Perndreca F. 20. Ayodeji M. 10. Vila L. 21. Qefalija K. 29. Berisha H. 11. Silva-Richards R. 8. Qardaku E.	99. Majecki R. (G) 7. Bruno 5. Goldar D. 4. David Luiz (C) 14. Ioannou N. 88. Pepe 26. Sunjic I. 8. Quina D. 13. Moumi Ngamaleu N. 18. Lele 20. Biel
Substitutes
7. Ajzeraj A. 6. Alhassan A. 45. Aniekan James B. 16. Bleta N. 33. Fadairo D. 24. Farruku F. 5. Hoxhallari E. 97. Kiri T. (G) 28. Manellari I. 18. Metaj D. 88. Ruci F. 1. Sali E. (G)	33. Anderson Silva 50. Brito A. 77. Correia J. 60. Efzona C. 6. Guga 72. Ioannou K. 61. Kais M. 42. Michael G. 3. Mmaee S. 71. Papastylianou M. (G) 82. Petrou P. (G) 12. Sema K.
Coaches
Daja I.	Sa Pinto R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Lele 🟨,
30', Ayodeji M. 🟨,
37', David Luiz (Penalty Awarded),
39', Quina D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', David Luiz ↓, Mmaee S. ↑,
57', Sunjic I. ↓, Guga ↑,
57', Quina D. ↓, Brito A. ↑,
57', Moumi Ngamaleu N. ↓, Correia J. ↑,
76', Ayodeji M. ↓, Alhassan A. ↑,
76', Berisha H. ↓, Fadairo D. ↑,
76', Qefalija K. ↓, Manellari I. ↑,
76', Qardaku E. ↓, Metaj D. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Fadairo D. ⚽, Alhassan A. (A),
81', Dita B. 🟨,
81', Teqja A. 🟨,
82', 1 - 1, Lele (Penalty Awarded),
86', Vila L. 🟨,
88', Lele ↓, Anderson Silva ↑,
90', Ismaili U. ↓, Aniekan James B. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Dinamo City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Paphos has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Dinamo City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Paphos is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Outrights of UEFA Europa Conference League for now

Pafos: 1.49%

Last Results with these Odds

Paphos - the odds 2.51 are the expected chance of winning is 35.9%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dinamo City Tirana
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.08.26	Dinamo City - Auda Riga	4:0 ✺
04.08.26	Auda Riga - Dinamo City	1:0 ✺
30.07.26	Dinamo City - Aluminij Kidricevo	3:0 ✺
23.07.26	Aluminij Kidricevo - Dinamo City	1:1 ✺
16.07.26	Astana - Dinamo City	1:4 AET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.6 WLWTW
- Paphos FC
UEFA Europa League
13.08.26	Paphos - Red Bull Salzburg	3:3 ✺
06.08.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Paphos	1:0 ✺
30.07.26	Paphos - Hajduk Split	4:0 AET ✺
23.07.26	Hajduk Split - Paphos	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.26	Slovan Bratislava - Paphos	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TLWLL

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