Match Info

Europa League - Qualification - Semi-finals

Date: 13 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Alphamega Stadium (Limassol)

Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Servus TV
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4P
Cyprus	Cytavision Sports 2, Cytavision Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV4
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Paphos		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.4	2.38	Watch
	3.00	3.60	2.25
	2.78	3.4	2.38	Watch
	2.84	3.41	2.41
	2.95	3.5	2.34	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.35
	2.95	3.51	2.45	Watch
	2.75	3.45	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (3.14)	3.46 ↓ (3.46)	2.36 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paphos
33.2%

Draw
27.1%

Red Bull Salzburg
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

26.9%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

26.4%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paphos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Red Bull Salzburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paphos than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.7%	20%	74.3%

Paphos - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Paphos will win (votes: 2 - 5.7%). Salzburg will win (votes: 26 - 74.3%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salzburg: 59.8% – 88.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Salzburg (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Red Bull Salzburg will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Salzburg (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Majecki R. (G) 7. Bruno 5. Goldar D. 4. David Luiz (C) 14. Ioannou N. 26. Sunjic I. 30. Dragomir V. 6. Guga 88. Pepe 20. Biel 18. Lele	52. Zawieschitzky C. (G) 18. Veratschnig N. (C) 44. Boma K. 47. Zabransky V. 31. Schmid D. 32. Barry A. 15. Mazurek B. 8. Kitano S. 11. Vertessen Y. 23. Redzic D. 9. Tabakovic H.
Substitutes
33. Anderson Silva 50. Brito A. 60. Efzona C. 72. Ioannou K. 61. Kais M. 47. Mammadov M. 42. Michael G. 3. Mmaee S. 13. Moumi Ngamaleu N. 71. Papastylianou M. (G) 82. Petrou P. (G)	20. Baidoo E. 33. Camara A. 21. Drexler T. 1. Fruchtl C. (G) 14. Kjaergaard M. 19. Konate K. 13. Kratzig F. 28. Matijasevic F. 4. Mellberg J. 39. Morgalla L. 41. Sarcevic N. (G)
Coaches
Sa Pinto R.	Rohl D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Lele ⚽, Bruno (A),
36', Veratschnig N. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Biel ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Kitano S. ↓, Baidoo E. ↑,
48', Bruno 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Tabakovic H. ⚽, Redzic D. (A),
58', 2 - 2, Tabakovic H. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Guga ↓, Moumi Ngamaleu N. ↑,
70', 2 - 3, Tabakovic H. ⚽,
75', Tabakovic H. ↓, Konate K. ↑,
75', Sunjic I. ↓, Anderson Silva ↑,
82', Vertessen Y. ↓, Drexler T. ↑,
82', Veratschnig N. ↓, Morgalla L. ↑,
82', Dragomir V. ↓, Mammadov M. ↑,
84', 3 - 3, Mammadov M. ⚽, Lele (A),
86', Redzic D. ↓, Kratzig F. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 0-1. Playing home matches at a different stadium - Alphamega Stadium.

Paphos is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Salzburg is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Salzburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Paphos has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paphos won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Salzburg: 1.2%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Salzburg	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paphos FC
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Paphos	1:0 ✺
30.07.26	Paphos - Hajduk Split	4:0 AET ✺
23.07.26	Hajduk Split - Paphos	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.07.26	Slovan Bratislava - Paphos	3:2 ✺
12.07.26	Jagiellonia Białystok - Paphos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL
- Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Bundesliga
09.08.26	Wolfsberger - Red Bull Salzburg	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Paphos	1:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
01.08.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Hartberg	1:0 ✺
Austrian OFB Cup
25.07.26	Oberwart - Red Bull Salzburg	1:7 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Mamelodi Sundowns	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWWW?

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
06.08.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Paphos	1:0

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