Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 14

Date: 9 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Palogrande (Manizales) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belarus	04:10	Sport TV
Colombia	20:10	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South America	—	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	21:10	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fubo Latino 2


	Once Caldas		Llaneros SA

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.8	6.25	Watch
	1.52	3.90	5.50
	1.52	3.85	5.9	Watch
	1.58	4.12	6.02
	1.53	4.07	6	Watch
	1.52	4	5.9
	1.49	4.05	6.18	Watch
	1.54	3.95	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.54)	3.97 ↓ (4)	5.92 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Once Caldas
60.8%

Draw
23.5%

Llaneros SA
15.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.9%

23.5%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.8%

22.8%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Once Caldas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Once Caldas - Llaneros SA Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Parra J. (G) 22. Cuesta Santos J. D. (C) 2. Cardona J. 30. Londono D. 33. Patino J. 5. Nieto J. 42. Quinones J. 7. Barrios M. 20. Roa A. 9. Gomez P. 14. Zapata Ramirez J. A.	22. Romana Garavito R. (G) 20. Chury B. 2. Mena Posada H. H. 21. Meza F. (C) 94. Medranda J. 13. Castilla J. 95. Jhon Vasquez 8. Ramirez J. 33. Kelvin Osorio 32. Castaneda F. 9. Cortes C.
Substitutes
36. Acuna R. 31. Beltran J. 12. Camargo J. (G) 16. Castano J. 21. Guzman H. 18. Riquett J. 19. Rojas T. 29. Torres E. 28. Zuleta M.	70. Contreras J. 12. Loaiza J. (G) 17. Mena Y. 7. Miranda L. 23. Moralez A. 10. Ospina N. 6. Sierra M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Zapata Ramirez J. A. 🟨,
35', Castilla J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Medranda J. ↓, Miranda L. ↑,
51', Cuesta Santos J. D. 🟨,
55', Cortes C. 🟨,
65', Cortes C. (Penalty Awarded),
68', 1 - 0, Cardona J. ⚽, Londono D. (A),
73', Meza F. 🟨,
74', Cortes C. ↓, Mena Y. ↑,
75', Jhon Vasquez 🟥,
85', Ramirez J. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
87', Gomez P. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
87', Barrios M. ↓, Guzman H. ↑,
90+1', Castaneda F. ↓, Sierra M. ↑,
90+1', Castilla J. ↓, Ospina N. ↑,
90+5', Roa A. ↓, Rojas T. ↑,
90+8', Quinones J. ↓, Zuleta M. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 12th and 10th).

Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.

Bookmakers give the edge to Once Caldas for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Once Caldas has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:3 (averaging 0.7:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Once Caldas against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Once Caldas	16	5	6	5	20:18	2	21
14	Llaneros	16	5	2	9	16:21	-5	17

Outrights of Colombian Primera A for now

Once Caldas: 3.29% Llaneros: 0.82%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A
04.10.26	Inter Bogotá - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
25.09.26	Once Caldas - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Deportivo Pasto - Once Caldas	1:0 ✺
16.09.26	Once Caldas - Deportes Tolima	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Once Caldas - Deportivo Cali	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLWL
- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera A
04.10.26	Llaneros SA - América de Cali	1:2 ✺
26.09.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Llaneros SA	2:1 ✺
20.09.26	Llaneros SA - Atlético Nacional	2:0 ✺
12.09.26	Inter Bogotá - Llaneros SA	3:2 ✺
07.09.26	Llaneros SA - Deportes Tolima	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
30.03.26	Llaneros SA - Once Caldas	1:1
19.10.25	Llaneros SA - Once Caldas	2:0
27.03.25	Once Caldas - Llaneros SA	1:0

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