Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 13

Date: 20 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio El Campín (Bogotá) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belarus	04:30	Sport TV
Colombia	20:30	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South America	—	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	21:30	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fubo Latino 2


	Millonarios		Once Caldas

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.50	4.10	Watch
	1.82	3.30	4.00
	1.70	3.75	4.90	Watch
	1.89	3.55	4.91
	1.76	3.58	4.59	Watch
	1.83	3.25	4.85
	1.80	3.52	4.16	Watch
	1.83	3.45	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↑ (1.67)	3.49 ↓ (3.85)	4.45 ↓ (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millonarios
51.9%

Draw
27%

Once Caldas
21.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.1%

24.3%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

23.4%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Millonarios, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Millonarios - Once Caldas Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Once Caldas (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burrai J. (G) 3. Samuel M. 4. Barreiro S. 6. Mosquera S. 22. Valencia S. 7. Cuadrado J. (C) 55. Leonai Souza 18. Urena R. 14. Silva D. 10. Ruiz D. 23. Castro L.	99. Parra J. (G) 22. Cuesta Santos J. D. 16. Castano J. 30. Londono D. 33. Patino J. 5. Nieto J. 7. Barrios M. 23. Colorado A. (C) 20. Roa A. 9. Gomez P. 14. Zapata Ramirez J. A.
Substitutes
12. Aguirre J. (G) 24. Angulo J. 20. Banguero D. 11. Estupinan A. 26. Llinas A. 25. Quintero D. 15. Romero Y. 28. Vega S. 30. Viveros S.	15. Alvarado J. 12. Camargo J. (G) 21. Guzman H. 17. Moreno D. 4. Navarro E. 42. Quinones J. 18. Riquett J. 19. Rojas T. 29. Torres E.
Coaches
Gamero A.	Valencia C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Samuel M. ↓, Urena R. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Barreiro S. 🟨,
65', Cardona J. 🟨,
66', Silva D. ↓, Viveros S. ↑,
66', Castro L. ↓, Contreras R. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Ruiz D. ⚽,
77', Quinones J. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
82', Gomez P. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
85', Vega S. 🟨,
86', Cuadrado J. 🟨,
87', Ruiz D. 🟨,
89', 1 - 1, Moreno D. (Penalty Awarded),
90', 🟨,
90+3', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Alvarado J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 1.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Once Caldas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Millonarios has faced a series of away games on the road.

Millonarios carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Millonarios has recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:23 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Millonarios against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 18:14 goals (averaging 1.6:1.3 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Millonarios	16	6	8	2	24:14	10	26
9	Once Caldas	16	5	6	5	20:18	2	21

Outrights of Colombian Primera A for now

Millonarios: 9.14% Once Caldas: 3.29%

Last Results with these Odds

Millonarios - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.13%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millonarios FC
Colombian Primera A
17.10.26	Millonarios - Jaguares de Córdoba	4:1 ✺
08.10.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
03.10.26	Barranquilla - Millonarios	2:1 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
29.09.26	Independiente Medellín - Millonarios	2:2 ✺
24.09.26	Atlético Nacional - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WTLTT
- Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A
17.10.26	Independiente Medellín - Once Caldas	0:2 ✺
09.10.26	Once Caldas - Llaneros SA	1:0 ✺
04.10.26	Inter Bogotá - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
25.09.26	Once Caldas - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Deportivo Pasto - Once Caldas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
21.03.26	Once Caldas - Millonarios	1:4
29.10.25	Millonarios - Once Caldas	0:0
11.06.25	Millonarios - Once Caldas	2:2
08.06.25	Once Caldas - Millonarios	0:0
11.05.25	Once Caldas - Millonarios	2:2
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.25	Once Caldas - Millonarios	1:0
Colombian Primera A
08.09.24	Once Caldas - Millonarios	1:1

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