Match Info

Date: 13 October 2026, Tuesday


	Millonarios		Once Caldas

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.85	4.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 (1.67)	3.85 (3.85)	4.8 (4.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Millonarios
56.1%

Draw
24.3%

Once Caldas
19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

23.4%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Millonarios have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Once Caldas have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

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Preview

This match features a clash between a top-table contender and a mid-table team (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: ) and 12th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 1.

Millonarios has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Once Caldas has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Once Caldas could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Millonarios has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this matchup, Millonarios is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Millonarios has recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:23 (averaging 1.4:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Millonarios against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 18:14 goals (averaging 1.6:1.3 per game).

Outrights of Colombian Primera A for now

Millonarios: 8.74% Once Caldas: 2.62%

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Millonarios	13	5	6	2	18:11	7	21
12	Once Caldas	12	3	4	5	15:16	-1	13

Last Results with these Odds

Millonarios - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.13%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Millonarios FC
Colombian Copa
03.10.26	Barranquilla - Millonarios	2:1 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
29.09.26	Independiente Medellín - Millonarios	2:2 ✺
24.09.26	Atlético Nacional - Millonarios	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Millonarios - Boyacá Chicó	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Millonarios	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTTWW
- Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A
04.10.26	Inter Bogotá - Once Caldas	1:1 ✺
25.09.26	Once Caldas - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Deportivo Pasto - Once Caldas	1:0 ✺
16.09.26	Once Caldas - Deportes Tolima	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Once Caldas - Deportivo Cali	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
21.03.26	Once Caldas - Millonarios	1:4
29.10.25	Millonarios - Once Caldas	0:0
11.06.25	Millonarios - Once Caldas	2:2
08.06.25	Once Caldas - Millonarios	0:0
11.05.25	Once Caldas - Millonarios	2:2
Copa Sudamericana
05.03.25	Once Caldas - Millonarios	1:0
Colombian Primera A
08.09.24	Once Caldas - Millonarios	1:1

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