Match Info

Liga Women - Round 11

Date: 12 May 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Palogrande (Manizales)


	Once Caldas		Fortaleza CEIF

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	3.6
	1.66	3.45	4.9
	1.59	3.72	5.22
	1.61	3.65	5.23	Watch
	1.67	3.73	4.66	Watch
	1.66	3.45	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.9)	3.53 ↑ (3.26)	4.75 ↑ (3.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Once Caldas
54.6%

Draw
26%

Fortaleza CEIF
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

28.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

27.6%

23.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Once Caldas's performance.

Fortaleza CEIF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Once Caldas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (+4%)

Once Caldas - Fortaleza CEIF Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Once Caldas will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Rodriguez J. (G) 19. Gomez E. 5. Ruiz N. 3. Navas S. 4. Giraldo C. 10. Castillo I. 8. Valencia D. 2. Torres M. 7. Infante Suarez N. C. 16. Rivera T. 14. Pastrana N.	1. Manrique M. (G) 14. Lopez S. 2. Bohorquez S. 6. Medina M. 8. Godoy C. 10. Navarro L. 25. de la Cruz I. 4. Fonseca J. (C) 21. Agudelo S. 13. Torres R. 11. Santana D.
Substitutes
25. Agamez D. (G) 9. Alzate D. 21. Castro R. 24. Martinez A. 15. Montes C. 17. Orozco M. 20. Patino S.	20. Bedoya N. 12. Chuquen C. (G) 16. Gaona A. 7. Perdomo D. 9. Ramirez G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Navas S. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Rivera T. ⚽, Pastrana N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Castillo I. ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
47', Navas S. 🟨,
51', 1 - 1, Torres R. ⚽, Medina M. (A),
53', de la Cruz I. 🟨,
64', Lopez S. 🟨,
68', de la Cruz I. ↓, Perdomo D. ↑,
74', Rivera T. ↓, Orozco M. ↑,
80', Gomez E. 🟨,
83', Infante Suarez N. C. ↓, Patino S. ↑,
83', Lopez S. ↓, Bedoya N. ↑,
88', Torres R. ↓, Ramirez G. ↑,
90', Gomez E. ↓, Montes C. ↑,
90', Pastrana N. ↓, Alzate D. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 13 and 16).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Once Caldas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Once Caldas has had a series of away games.

Once Caldas could have a small edge in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Once Caldas Women
Colombian Liga Women
03.05.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Once Caldas	0:0 ✺
20.04.25	Orsomarso - Once Caldas	3:0 ✺
12.04.25	Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas	1:3 ✺
27.03.25	Once Caldas - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	La Equidad - Once Caldas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 TLWWL
- Fortaleza CEIF Women
Colombian Liga Women
03.05.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
28.04.25	La Equidad - Fortaleza CEIF	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	América de Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Real Santander	1:1 ✺
07.04.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLLTT

Once Caldas - Fortaleza CEIF: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide