Match Info

Liga Women - Round 10

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)


	Fortaleza CEIF		Alianza Valledupar

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	1.95
	3.55	3.3	1.95
	4.09	4.15	1.66
	4.16	4.11	1.65	Watch
	4.63	3.4	1.75	Watch
	3.55	3.3	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↓ (5.87)	3.56 ↓ (3.74)	1.82 ↑ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortaleza CEIF
23.6%

Draw
25.8%

Alianza Valledupar
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.5%

24.4%

60.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8%

23.4%

62.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortaleza CEIF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fortaleza CEIF's performance.

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alianza Valledupar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza CEIF than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Fortaleza CEIF that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Valledupar than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alianza Valledupar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Manrique M. (G) 23. Bejarano V. 2. Bohorquez S. 15. Saenz M. 21. Agudelo S. 4. Fonseca J. 7. Perdomo D. 18. Beltran D. 13. Torres R. 25. de la Cruz I. 11. Santana D.	26. Saravia A. (G) 7. Bonett S. 8. Cabrales V. 3. Ramos T. 28. Jaimes F. 14. Diaz H. 24. Gallego M. 6. Sandoval A. 19. Mendivelso N. 10. Constante S. 99. Garrido E.
Substitutes
20. Bedoya N. 17. Chaparro V. 12. Chuquen C. (G) 14. Lopez S. 10. Navarro L. 9. Ramirez G. 24. Sanchez G.	12. Diaz D. 11. Florez M. 5. Gomez L. 21. Granados K. 30. Perez E. 2. Saldarriaga L. 18. Vera H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Bejarano V. 🟨,
14', Gallego M. 🟨,
30', Bonett S. ↓, Florez M. ↑,
35', Beltran D. 🟨,
45', Diaz H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 0, Torres R. ⚽, Chaparro V. (A),
51', de la Cruz I. 🟨,
55', Chaparro V. ↓, Navarro L. ↑,
57', Fonseca J. 🟨,
69', Bejarano V. ↓, Bedoya N. ↑,
72', Garrido E. ↓, Vera H. ↑,
72', Sandoval A. ↓, Gomez L. ↑,
90', Bedoya N. 🟨,
90+3', Beltran D. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 12).

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

In this match, Alianza is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortaleza CEIF Women
Colombian Liga Women
28.04.25	La Equidad - Fortaleza CEIF	2:0 ✺
23.04.25	América de Cali - Fortaleza CEIF	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Real Santander	1:1 ✺
07.04.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTTL
- Alianza Valledupar Women
Colombian Liga Women
27.04.25	Alianza Valledupar - Junior Barranquilla	2:5 ✺
21.04.25	Independiente Medellín - Alianza Valledupar	5:0 ✺
12.04.25	Alianza Valledupar - Once Caldas	1:3 ✺
28.03.25	Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar	3:1 ✺
22.03.25	Alianza Valledupar - Orsomarso	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLLW

Fortaleza CEIF - Alianza Valledupar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide