Match Info

USA: USL League One

Date: 13 July 2024, Saturday

Location: Regal Stadium (Knoxville, TN)

Where to Watch on TV:


North-central-america	ESPNPlay Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Disney+


	One Knoxville		Northern Colorado Hailstorm

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.2
	2.7	3.2	2.4
	2.76	3.15	2.46
	2.81	3.18	2.39	Watch
	3.2	3.5	1.95
	2.82	3.1	2.38	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↓ (2.98)	3.22 ↓ (3.25)	2.3 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

One Knoxville
32%

Draw
28.4%

Northern Colorado Hailstorm
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

28.1%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

27.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

One Knoxville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Northern Colorado Hailstorm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northern Colorado Hailstorm than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

One Knoxville - Northern Colorado Hailstorm Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lewis S. (G) 16. Thomas J. 5. Crisler J. 4. Skelton J. (C) 22. Ritchie S. 12. Johnson C. 3. Haugli S. 13. Fernandez D. 8. Kelly-Rosales A. 10. Tekiela K. 11. Ross F.	1. Delgado E. (G) 13. Opara L. 4. Garcia D. (C) 2. Evans B. 14. Yamazaki H. 15. Langlois P. 6. Dietrich J. 19. King B. 30. Martinez I. 27. Rendon B. 20. Hoard E.
Substitutes
45. Adjei K. 18. Benton D. 91. Calixtro G. 9. Castro R. 25. Garibay J. (G) 7. Machell C. 19. Nshuti I. 27. Ramirez D. 15. Santos L.	5. Fenwick J. 7. Gill R. 11. Hernandez M. 23. Keegan J. 66. Powder N. 34. Robles D. 12. Shealy R. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Haugli S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Tekiela K. 🟨,
59', Kelly-Rosales A. 🟨,
59', Dietrich J. 🟨,
67', Ritchie S. ↓, Calixtro G. ↑,
67', Ross F. ↓, Adjei K. ↑,
69', Dietrich J. ↓, Powder N. ↑,
77', Tekiela K. ↓, Castro R. ↑,
79', Rendon B. 🟥,
89', Hoard E. ↓, Keegan J. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 0, Castro R. ⚽, Crisler J. (A),
90+6', Langlois P. ↓, Gill R. ↑,
90+6', Yamazaki H. ↓, Hernandez M. ↑,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).

Recent matches One Knoxville is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Northern Colorado is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Northern Colorado could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Northern Colorado have a series of home games.

Northern Colorado will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches One Knoxville won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 5-13.

Including matches at home between the teams One Knoxville won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
05.07.24	South Georgia Tormenta - One Knoxville	0:1 ✺
USL Cup
29.06.24	One Knoxville - Forward Madison	2:0 ✺
USL League One
22.06.24	One Knoxville - Greenville Triumph	0:2 ✺
17.06.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - One Knoxville	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
08.06.24	One Knoxville - Lexington	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLLW
- Northern Colorado Hailstorm
USL League One
06.07.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Charlotte Independence	0:1 ✺
03.07.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Central Valley Fuego	2:2 ✺
USL Cup
29.06.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - Spokane Velocity	3:1 ✺
USL League One
22.06.24	Richmond Kickers - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	0:2 ✺
17.06.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - One Knoxville	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
17.06.24	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - One Knoxville	2:1
USL Cup
11.05.24	One Knoxville - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	1:5
USL League One
11.07.23	One Knoxville - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	2:4
10.06.23	Northern Colorado Hailstorm - One Knoxville	0:0
13.05.23	One Knoxville - Northern Colorado Hailstorm	1:2

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