The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
One Knoxville 48.6%
Draw 26.4%
Greenville Triumph 24.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.6%
28.3%
25.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.6%
24.1%
29.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
One Knoxville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Greenville Triumph has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for One Knoxville than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with One Knoxville that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greenville Triumph than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
One Knoxville - Greenville Triumph Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Garibay J. (G) 22. Perkins W. 4. Skelton J. 3. McRobb F. 2. Tiao C. 8. Murphy Jr. J. 89. Baker T. 6. Caputo A. 72. Rodrigues B. P. 9. Krioutchenkov D. 7. Diene B.
13. Knight A. (G) 22. Fritz K. 12. Lee E. 5. Fricke B. (C) 14. Wu D. 7. Boyce D. 8. Herrera C. 18. Evans C. 20. Seagrist P. 19. Liadi A. 9. Robles R.
Substitutes
26. Brown J. 13. Bull 32. Burke J. (G) 27. Cook E. 18. Cordova H. 11. Linhares K. 77. Rosamilia N. 21. Zarokostas S.
10. Akio W. 11. Bouregy J. 25. Castro L. 33. Meek L. 3. Polak T. 30. Torman S. (G) 23. White E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Wu D. 🟨,
44', Liadi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Seagrist P. (Own goal),
51', McRobb F. 🟨,
63', Fritz K. 🟨,
65', Robles R. ↓, Akio W. ↑,
68', Herrera C. 🟨,
72', Murphy Jr. J. ↓, Rosamilia N. ↑,
77', Seagrist P. 🟨,
78', Fritz K. ↓, Castro L. ↑,
79', Boyce D. ↓, Meek L. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Rodrigues B. P. ⚽, Caputo A. (A),
84', Rodrigues B. P. ↓, Zarokostas S. ↑,
84', Krioutchenkov D. ↓, Linhares K. ↑,
86', Herrera C. ↓, Bouregy J. ↑,
90', Diene B. ↓, Cook E. ↑,
90', Baker T. ↓, Bull ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ USL League One (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 3.
One Knoxville is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Greenville has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
One Knoxville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Greenville has had a series of away games.
One Knoxville is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, One Knoxville won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).