Match Info

USL League One

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Regal Stadium (Knoxville, TN)

Where to Watch on TV:


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North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	One Knoxville		Forward Madison

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.88	3.15	3.8
	1.79	3.46	4.45
	2.08	3.29	3.52	Watch
	1.8	3.1	4
	1.9	3.53	3.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.16)	3.31 ↑ (2.91)	3.92 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

One Knoxville
48.7%

Draw
27.8%

Forward Madison
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

31.1%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

One Knoxville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in One Knoxville's performance.

Forward Madison has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

One Knoxville - Forward Madison Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Garibay J. (G) 26. Brown J. 4. Skelton J. 13. Bull 2. Tiao C. 6. Caputo A. 21. Zarokostas S. 89. Baker T. 17. Goling M. 8. Murphy Jr. J. 9. Krioutchenkov D. (C)	1. Harms J. (G) 13. Humphrey T. 20. Carmichael K. 4. McCamy C. 3. Edwards A. 8. Segbers M. (C) 12. Torres R. 6. Kanyane G. 14. Gyamfi S. 9. Carmichael R. 17. Gebhard D.
Substitutes
32. Burke J. (G) 19. Conway E. 27. Cook E. 7. Diene B. 10. Gill R. 11. Linhares K. 3. McRobb F. 22. Perkins W.	30. Machacen E. 19. Manske T. (G) 22. Munjoma E. 11. Ngoubou C. 18. Romanshyn K. 5. Shannon J. 33. Toure K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
13', Carmichael K. 🟨,
16', 1 - 0, Murphy Jr. J. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Humphrey T. ⚽, Torres R. (A),
34', Caputo A. 🟨,
36', Kanyane G. 🟨,
39', 1 - 2, Gyamfi S. ⚽, Kanyane G. (A),
42', Zarokostas S. 🟨,
45+4', Segbers M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Segbers M. ↓, Machacen E. ↑,
46', Zarokostas S. ↓, Linhares K. ↑,
46', Caputo A. ↓, McRobb F. ↑,
52', Machacen E. 🟨,
56', Torres R. 🟨,
67', Carmichael R. ↓, Ngoubou C. ↑,
67', Bull ↓, Gill R. ↑,
72', Murphy Jr. J. ↓, Diene B. ↑,
81', Gebhard D. ↓, Romanshyn K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 0.

One Knoxville may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

One Knoxville is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, One Knoxville won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 0.8:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, One Knoxville won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Forward Madison ✔	29	15	7	7	50:27	23	52
4	One Knoxville ✔	30	14	9	7	49:34	15	51

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- One Knoxville SC
USL League One
07.03.26	Westchester SC - One Knoxville	2:3 ✺
16.11.25	One Knoxville - Spokane Velocity	2:0 ✺
08.11.25	One Knoxville - Naples	1:0 ✺
02.11.25	One Knoxville - Charlotte Independence	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	One Knoxville - Greenville Triumph	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWWWW
- Forward Madison
USL League One
25.10.25	Richmond Kickers - Forward Madison	5:1 ✺
18.10.25	Union Omaha - Forward Madison	4:0 ✺
11.10.25	Forward Madison - Chattanooga Red Wolves	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Portland Hearts of Pine - Forward Madison	1:3 ✺
28.09.25	Westchester SC - Forward Madison	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

USL League One
09.08.25	Forward Madison - One Knoxville	2:2
USL Cup
28.06.25	Forward Madison - One Knoxville	1:0
USL League One
09.05.25	One Knoxville - Forward Madison	1:1
19.10.24	Forward Madison - One Knoxville	0:0
01.10.24	One Knoxville - Forward Madison	1:1
USL Cup
29.06.24	One Knoxville - Forward Madison	2:0
25.05.24	Forward Madison - One Knoxville	1:0

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