Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 22

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Operário		Estrela Vendas Novas

	1	X	2
	1.27	4.4	11
	1.28	4.4	11
	1.21	5.31	14.86
	1.25	4.45	13.5
	1.28	4.4	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.45)	4.59 ↑ (3.75)	12.27 ↑ (6.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Operário
72.6%

Draw
19.9%

Estrela Vendas Novas
7.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

24.2%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

23.3%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Operário's performance.

Estrela Vendas Novas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Estrela Vendas Novas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Operário that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela Vendas Novas than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Estrela Vendas Novas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Operário - Estrela Vendas Novas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Estrela Vendas Novas is Relegated to

Both teams are in bad shape now.

In this match Operário is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Operário
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
02.03.25	Fabril do Barreiro - Operário	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Operário - Barreirense	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Operário - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Serpa - Operário	4:0 ✺
02.02.25	Operário - Moura	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLTLW
- Estrela Vendas Novas
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
02.03.25	Estrela Vendas Novas - Lusitano GC	0:3 ✺
23.02.25	Serpa - Estrela Vendas Novas	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Estrela Vendas Novas - Moura	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Amora - Estrela Vendas Novas	3:0 ✺
02.02.25	Estrela Vendas Novas - Lagoa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LLTLW

Operário - Estrela Vendas Novas: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide