Match Info

PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 21

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday


	Fabril do Barreiro		Operário

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.85	2.45
	2.88	2.87	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.82 ↑ (2.18)	2.86 ↓ (3.08)	2.51 ↓ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fabril do Barreiro
32.2%

Draw
31.7%

Operário
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.5%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

28.8%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fabril do Barreiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fabril do Barreiro's form might have worsened.

Operário has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Operário's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fabril do Barreiro than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fabril do Barreiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Operário, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fabril do Barreiro - Operário Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 🟥,
87', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 10 in the zone Relegation).

Fabril do Barreiro is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Operário is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fabril do Barreiro will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fabril do Barreiro
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
23.02.25	Lusitano GC - Fabril do Barreiro	4:0 ✺
16.02.25	Fabril do Barreiro - Serpa	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Moura - Fabril do Barreiro	0:1 ✺
02.02.25	Fabril do Barreiro - Amora	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Lagoa - Fabril do Barreiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTWLL
- CD Operário
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
23.02.25	Operário - Barreirense	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	Operário - Lusitano GC	0:0 ✺
09.02.25	Serpa - Operário	4:0 ✺
02.02.25	Operário - Moura	4:2 ✺
26.01.25	Amora - Operário	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LTLWT

Fabril do Barreiro - Operário: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide