The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Operário Ltda 46.1%
Draw 29.1%
Nova Mutum 24.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.5%
27.3%
19.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.3%
26.9%
18.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Operário Ltda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Operário Ltda's form might have worsened.
Nova Mutum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nova Mutum's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ltda than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Operário Ltda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Mutum than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nova Mutum, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Operário Ltda - Nova Mutum Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Denis Macedo ⚽,
8', 2 - 0, Nenem ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Rogue J. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 3 - 1, Nenem ⚽,
56', 3 - 2, Jackie Chan ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Operário Ltda won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
In this match, Operário Ltda is the team to beat.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Operário Ltda won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Operário Ltda won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.5:1.1).
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