Match Info

Matogrossense - Round 9

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Valdir Doilho Wons (Nova Mutum)


	Nova Mutum		Mixto

	1	X	2
	4.95	3.25	1.65
	4.85	3.3	1.68
	4.95	3.39	1.70	Watch
	5	3.1	1.67
	5.15	3.32	1.65
	5	3.25	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.98 ↓ (5.12)	3.27 ↓ (3.5)	1.67 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nova Mutum
18.2%

Draw
27.7%

Mixto
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

26.1%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.2%

25.2%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nova Mutum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Mixto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Mutum than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mixto than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Nova Mutum - Mixto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Esquerdinha ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 1 - 1, Yan Suhet ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Matogrossense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Nova Mutum has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mixto is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Nova Mutum has had a series of away games.

In this match, Mixto is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nova Mutum won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:8. (average 0.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Nova Mutum won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nova Mutum EC
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
05.02.26	Várzea Grande - Nova Mutum	1:3 ✺
31.01.26	Cuiabá - Nova Mutum	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Nova Mutum - Chapada	3:2 ✺
25.01.26	Operário Ltda - Nova Mutum	3:1 ✺
22.01.26	Primavera AC - Nova Mutum	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLWLT
- Mixto-MT
Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
05.02.26	Mixto - Sport Sinop	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Mixto - Primavera AC	4:0 ✺
28.01.26	Operário Ltda - Mixto	1:4 ✺
25.01.26	Mixto - Várzea Grande	0:0 ✺
21.01.26	Luverdense - Mixto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Matogrossense
15.01.25	Mixto - Nova Mutum	5:0
20.01.24	Nova Mutum - Mixto	0:1
09.02.23	Mixto - Nova Mutum	1:0
02.02.20	Nova Mutum - Mixto	1:1

Nova Mutum - Mixto: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide