The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Operário Ferroviario 71.1%
Draw 19.4%
Ponte Preta 9.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.3%
22.3%
13.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.1%
21.4%
12.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Operário Ferroviario's performance.
Ponte Preta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponte Preta than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Operário Ferroviario - Ponte Preta Predictions
Users Predictions:
Operário Ferroviario will win
(7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Vagner (G) 26. Maguinho 44. Klaus 16. Miranda 27. Gabriel Feliciano 10. Boschilia (C) 39. Matheus Trindade 20. Vinicius Diniz 14. Pereira H. 92. Pablo 11. Aylon
30. Vinicius Ferrari (G) 23. Palacios S. 3. Lucas Cunha 44. Marcio Silva 2. Julio 16. Leo Gomes 14. Danilo Barcelos (C) 32. Kevyson 13. Diego Porfirio 10. Elvis 21. Brandao
Substitutes
18. Andre 99. Caio Dantas 32. Charles Raphael 1. Elias Curzel (G) 5. Indio 23. Joao Gabriel 77. Maxwell 6. Moraes 88. Neto Paraiba 30. Pedro Vilhena 9. Vinicius Mingotti
26. Baianinho 18. David da Hora 4. Diego M. L. 1. Guilherme Viana (G) 15. Gustavo Almeida 35. Gustavo Telles 6. Juan Rodrigues 17. Miguel Morais 7. Nicolas Araujo 90. Rodriguinho
Coaches
Luizinho Lopes
Marcio Zanardi
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Brandao ⚽, Marcio Silva (A),
31', 1 - 1, Pablo ⚽,
34', Marcio Silva 🟨,
36', David da Hora 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 2, Brandao ⚽, Elvis (A),
51', Brandao 🟨,
53', 2 - 2, Pereira H. ⚽, Gabriel Feliciano (A),
65', Matheus Trindade ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
65', Aylon ↓, Moraes ↑,
65', Kevyson ↓, Baianinho ↑,
72', Vinicius Ferrari 🟨,
77', Vinicius Diniz 🟨,
79', Pereira H. ↓, Vinicius Mingotti ↑,
83', Brandao 🟨,
85', Gabriel Feliciano ↓, Maxwell ↑,
85', Pablo ↓, Caio Dantas ↑,
88', Leo Gomes ↓, Juan Rodrigues ↑,
88', Elvis ↓, Nicolas Araujo ↑,
90', 3 - 2, Caio Dantas ⚽,
90+7', Baianinho 🟨,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 2.
Operário PR is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Ponte Preta has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Operário PR is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Operário PR: Brenno Pereira
(Knee Injury)
Mikael Doka
(Yellow Cards)
Moraes
(Inactive)
Zuluaga J.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Ponte Preta: Diego Tavares
(Inactive)
Murilo
(Injury)
Rodrigo Souza
(Injury)
Thalys
(Inactive)
Willian Pottker
(Injury)
We predict that Operário PR will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Operário PR won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 0.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Operário PR won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).