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Current Win Probability
Sport Recife 49%
Draw 28.7%
Operário Ferroviario 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.1%
27%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.3%
27.1%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
Operário Ferroviario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.3%
16.7%
25%
Sport Recife - Operário Ferroviario Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Operário PR will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Recife: 30.4% – 86.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Thiago Couto (G) 68. Augusto 5. Benevenuto (C) 28. Habraao 60. Felipinho 6. Biel Fonseca 23. Ze Gabriel 47. Fabio Matheus 30. Chrystian Barletta 9. Pedro Perotti 31. Marlon Douglas
33. Vagner (C) 2. Mikael Doka 22. Cuenu J. 16. Miranda 27. Gabriel Feliciano 20. Vinicius Diniz 39. Matheus Trindade 88. Neto Paraiba 14. Pereira H. 99. Caio Dantas 11. Aylon
Substitutes
42. Adriano Sousa (G) 54. Adriel 75. Arthur Maron 27. Claudinho 20. Diego Hernandez 96. Edson Lucas 1. Halls (G) 3. Marcelo Ajul 48. Pedro Martins 7. Yago Felipe 99. Ze Roberto
18. Andre 32. Charles Raphael 28. Dudu Mosconi 1. Elias Curzel (G) 7. Felipe Augusto 5. Indio 23. Joao Gabriel 44. Klaus 26. Maguinho 30. Pedro Vilhena 9. Vinicius Mingotti
Coaches
Gilmar Pozzo
Luizinho Lopes
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Aylon ⚽, Pereira H. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Biel Fonseca ⚽,
32', Pereira H. ↓, Felipe Augusto ↑,
40', Benevenuto 🟨,
44', Ze Gabriel 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 2 - 1, Fabio Matheus ⚽, Biel Fonseca (A),
60', Mikael Doka 🟨,
62', Chrystian Barletta 🟨,
68', Fabio Matheus ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
72', Aylon ↓, Vinicius Mingotti ↑,
72', Caio Dantas ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
72', Biel Fonseca 🟨,
75', Marlon Douglas 🟨,
81', Marlon Douglas ↓, Edson Lucas ↑,
81', Pedro Perotti ↓, Ze Roberto ↑,
83', Matheus Trindade ↓, Indio ↑,
83', Neto Paraiba ↓, Maguinho ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Vinicius Diniz ⚽, Gabriel Feliciano (A),
88', Edson Lucas 🟨,
88', Biel Fonseca ↓, Diego Hernandez ↑,
90+2', Vinicius Diniz 🟨,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 2.
Recife is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Operário PR is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Recife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Recife is the team to beat.
There will not play in Recife: Clayson
(Red Card)
There will not play in Operário PR: Andre
(Inactive)
Pablo
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Operário PR: Aylon
(Injury)
Brenno Pereira
(Knee Injury)
Miranda
(Inactive)
Zuluaga J.
(Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Recife won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Recife won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).
Brazil
Usa
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Thiago Couto (G) 
Cuenu J. 
Pereira H. 
Diego Hernandez 
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