Match Info

BRAZIL: Paranaense - Round 8

Date: 6 February 2025, Thursday

Location: Ligga Arena (Curitiba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, NSports, Sky+, Vivo Play
Usa	Fanatiz


	Athletico Paranaense		São-Joseense

	1	X	2
	1.13	7.5	17
	1.15	6.5	14.5
	1.16	6.4	14
	1.13	7.13	16.13
	1.14	6.5	16.59
	1.15	6.5	19
	1.08	7.4	19	Watch
	1.16	6.4	14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↓ (1.22)	6.79 ↑ (5.51)	16.28 ↑ (10.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athletico Paranaense
80.8%

Draw
13.5%

São-Joseense
5.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

74.8%

16.5%

8.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athletico Paranaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Athletico Paranaense's performance.

São-Joseense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Athletico Paranaense - São Joseense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Santos (G) 27. Alan Kardec 45. Belezi 2. Dudu 98. Falcao 3. Leo 21. Leozinho 19. Luiz Fernando 18. Palacios H. 31. Raul 10. Zapelli B.	1. Pereira C. F. M. P. (G) 5. Darlan 3. Dirceu 8. Felipe Vieira 2. Igor Dutra 6. Junior Espeto 11. Marcos Calazans 4. Oswaldo Henriquez 10. Thiaguinho 9. Thomasel 7. Thomaz Carvalho
Substitutes
32. Arriagada L. 47. Chiqueti 15. Gamarra M. 9. Gonzalo Mastriani 57. Joao Cruz 29. Juninho 46. Marcao 42. Mateus Soares (G) 22. Matheus Felipe 63. Riquelme D. 77. Santos Kayke	12. Agenor (G) 18. Alex Matos 15. Andre Krobel 22. Dylan Vilela 19. Hannyel 13. Henrique Vermudt 16. Henrique Vigia 20. Ronald 14. Vinicio 21. Vitor Wallace 17. Wendel Lessa

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Zapelli B. ↓, Joao Cruz ↑,
33', 1 - 0, Leozinho ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Thomasel ⚽,
45+5', Thomasel 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Joao Cruz ⚽,
56', Thomaz Carvalho 🟨,
57', 3 - 1, Alan Kardec ⚽,
61', Junior Espeto ↓, Vinicio ↑,
61', Darlan ↓, Alex Matos ↑,
67', Alan Kardec ↓, Gonzalo Mastriani ↑,
71', Thomaz Carvalho ↓, Wendel Lessa ↑,
71', Thomasel ↓, Hannyel ↑,
74', Dudu ↓, Gamarra M. ↑,
74', Falcao ↓, Arriagada L. ↑,
84', Marcos Calazans ↓, Ronald ↑,
88', Leo 🟨,
89', Thiaguinho 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Paranaense (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Paranaense 2).

Recent matches Athletico PR is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

São-Joseense is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Athletico PR could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Athletico PR is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Athletico PR won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15:5 (average 3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Athletico PR won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:1 (average 2.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
02.02.25	Andraus - Athletico Paranaense	1:3 ✺
28.01.25	Athletico Paranaense - Cianorte	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Coritiba - Athletico Paranaense	0:0 ✺
22.01.25	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Azuriz - Athletico Paranaense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WTTTL
- Independente Futebol São-Joseense
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
02.02.25	São-Joseense - Londrina	2:1 ✺
29.01.25	Azuriz - São-Joseense	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	Operário Ferroviario - São-Joseense	3:0 ✺
23.01.25	São-Joseense - FC Cascavel	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	São-Joseense - Cianorte	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
25.02.24	Athletico Paranaense - São-Joseense	3:1
12.03.23	Athletico Paranaense - São-Joseense	4:0
04.03.23	São-Joseense - Athletico Paranaense	2:5
28.01.23	São-Joseense - Athletico Paranaense	2:3
29.01.22	Athletico Paranaense - São-Joseense	0:0

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