The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Coritiba 49.2%
Draw 29.4%
Operário Ferroviario 21.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.3%
29.9%
18.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.2%
28.8%
18.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coritiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Operário Ferroviario has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Operário Ferroviario than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
Coritiba - Operário Ferroviario Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Pedro Morisco (G) 77. Breno Lopes 26. Bruno Melo 10. Josue 7. Lavega J. 11. Lucas Ronier 3. Maicon (C) 32. Pedro Rocha 21. Thiago Santos 2. Tinga 29. Willian Oliveira
33. Vagner (G) 11. Aylon 10. Boschilia (C) 22. Cuenu J. 5. Indio 99. Leo Gaucho 16. Miranda 6. Moraes 14. Pereira H. 18. Pool J. 20. Vinicius Diniz
Substitutes
14. Enzo Vagner 28. Fabinho 22. Felipe Guimaraes 88. Fernando Sobral 87. Gabriel Leite (G) 39. Gustavo 55. Jacy 16. Joao Almeida 20. Keno 12. Pedro Rangel (G) 4. Rodrigo Moledo 36. Vini Paulista
4. Andre 3. Charles Raphael 28. Dudu Mosconi 1. Elias Curzel (G) 27. Gabriel Feliciano 23. Joao Gabriel 19. Kaua Gomes 39. Matheus Trindade 2. Mikael Doka 88. Neto Paraiba 29. Torres E. 8. Zuluaga J.
Coaches
Fernando Seabra
Luizinho Lopes
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
28', Vinicius Diniz 🟨,
28', Willian Oliveira 🟨,
45+1', Aylon 🟨,
45+4', 0 - 1, Leo Gaucho ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
47', Miranda 🟨,
48', 1 - 1, Maicon ⚽,
52', Indio 🟨,
58', 1 - 2, Aylon ⚽,
61', 2 - 2, Lucas Ronier ⚽,
64', Pereira H. ↓, Torres E. ↑,
69', Thiago Santos 🟨,
71', Willian Oliveira ↓, Vini Paulista ↑,
75', Thiago Santos ↓, Jacy ↑,
76', Pedro Rocha ↓, Enzo Vagner ↑,
76', Breno Lopes ↓, Keno ↑,
79', Torres E. 🟨,
81', Leo Gaucho ↓, Gabriel Feliciano ↑,
82', Vinicius Diniz ↓, Neto Paraiba ↑,
87', Miranda ↓, Matheus Trindade ↑,
87', Moraes ↓, Mikael Doka ↑,
88', Vini Paulista 🟨,
90', Lucas Ronier ↓, Fernando Sobral ↑,
Penalties (5 - 6)
1, Bruno Melo (Penalty Awarded),
1, Boschilia (Penalty Awarded),
2, Lavega J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Indio (Penalty Awarded),
3, Fernando Sobral (Penalty Awarded),
3, Gabriel Feliciano (Penalty Awarded),
4, Keno (Penalty Awarded),
4, Neto Paraiba (Penalty Awarded),
5, Josue (Penalty Awarded),
5, Aylon (Penalty Awarded),
6, Tinga (Penalty Awarded),
6, Mikael Doka (Penalty Awarded),
7, Maicon (Penalty Awarded),
7, Torres E. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 2-2. Second leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 1.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Coritiba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Coritiba has had a series of away games.
Recently, Operário PR has had a series of home games.
In this match, Coritiba is considered a favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 28:23. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:9. (average 2.1:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Coritiba - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.3%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
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Pedro Morisco (G) 
Josue 
Lavega J. 
Cuenu J. 
Pereira H. 
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