Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 14

Date: 22 July 2023, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Operário MS		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.9	1.42
	8	3.8	1.4
	7.78	3.78	1.4
	7.7	4.05	1.41
	7.5	3.75	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.5 ↑ (5.5)	3.86 ↑ (3.21)	1.41 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Operário MS
12.1%

Draw
23.6%

Ferroviária
64.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.5%

28.4%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

25.5%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Operário MS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferroviária's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Operário MS than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Operário MS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-14.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferroviária, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Operário MS - Ferroviária Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 5).

Operário MS has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Ferroviária is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Ferroviária is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Operário MS won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Operário MS
Brazilian Serie D
15.07.23	Piracicaba - Operário MS	1:0 ✺
09.07.23	Patrocinense - Operário MS	3:0 ✺
01.07.23	Operário MS - Maringá	0:1 ✺
24.06.23	Operário MS - FC Cascavel	1:1 ✺
17.06.23	Internacional de Limeira - Operário MS	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLTL
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie D
15.07.23	Ferroviária - Maringá	1:2 ✺
08.07.23	Internacional de Limeira - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
01.07.23	Ferroviária - Piracicaba	4:2 ✺
24.06.23	Clube Recreativo e Atlético Catalano - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
18.06.23	Patrocinense - Ferroviária	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
06.05.23	Ferroviária - Operário MS	0:0

Operário MS - Ferroviária