Match Info

Amapaense - Round 5

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Estádio Augusto Antunes (Santana)


	Independente		Santos AP

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.25	3.15
	2.09	3.16	3.23
	2.07	3.25	3.3
	1.95	3.25	3.3
	2	3.18	3.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.84)	3.22 ↓ (3.57)	3.29 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independente
44.5%

Draw
28.1%

Santos AP
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

25.4%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Santos AP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Independente - Santos AP Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

(2 - 2)

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Amapaense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Amapaense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Independente won 3.

Santos AP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Independente might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Independente won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.9:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Independente won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independente AP
Brazilian Campeonato Amapaense
26.02.26	Trem - Independente	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Independente - Oratório	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
18.02.26	Ivinhema - Independente	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Amapaense
13.02.26	Cristal AP - Independente	0:3 ✺
03.05.25	Independente - Oratório	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWLWW
- Santos AP
Brazilian Campeonato Amapaense
28.02.26	Oratório - Santos AP	1:3 ✺
23.02.26	Ypiranga Clube - Santos AP	2:3 ✺
19.02.26	Santos AP - Cristal AP	2:1 ✺
12.02.26	Santos AP - São José	1:2 ✺
30.04.25	Santos AP - Trem	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Amapaense
17.03.25	Independente - Santos AP	2:0
31.03.24	Santos AP - Independente	1:1
12.05.23	Santos AP - Independente	1:2
08.07.22	Independente - Santos AP	1:1
22.05.22	Independente - Santos AP	3:1
17.09.21	Independente - Santos AP	3:4
23.08.21	Independente - Santos AP	1:3

Independente - Santos AP: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide