Match Info

Amapaense - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Augusto Antunes (Santana)


	Santos AP		Oratório

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.5	2.1
	2.52	3.05	2.58
	2.53	2.92	2.72
	2.48	3.16	2.67
	2.45	3.1	2.63
	2.74	2.82	2.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.8)	3.09 ↓ (3.5)	2.6 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos AP
35.3%

Draw
29.5%

Oratório
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

25.5%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

26.3%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos AP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Oratório has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oratório might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos AP than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oratório than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oratório could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Santos AP - Oratório Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg.

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Amapaense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Amapaense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Santos AP is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Oratório has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Oratório is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos AP won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Santos AP won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos AP
Brazilian Campeonato Amapaense
15.03.26	Santos AP - Macapá	5:0 ✺
08.03.26	Santos AP - Trem	1:1 ✺
05.03.26	Independente - Santos AP	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Oratório - Santos AP	1:3 ✺
23.02.26	Ypiranga Clube - Santos AP	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 WTTWW
- Oratório RC
Brazilian Campeonato Amapaense
14.03.26	Oratório - Cristal AP	4:1 ✺
11.03.26	São José - Oratório	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Oratório - Macapá	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Oratório - Santos AP	1:3 ✺
Copa do Brasil
25.02.26	Tombense - Oratório	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Amapaense
28.02.26	Oratório - Santos AP	1:3
10.04.25	Oratório - Santos AP	1:0
18.03.24	Oratório - Santos AP	1:1
23.06.23	Santos AP - Oratório	2:2
20.06.22	Santos AP - Oratório	4:1

Santos AP - Oratório: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide