FNL 2 - Division B - Group 4 - Relegation Group - Round 4
Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday
Orenburg-2
Rubin 2 Kazan
1
X
2
1.66
3.43
5.34
Avarage Now (Initially)
1.66 ↑ (1.55)
3.43 ↓ (3.5)
5.34 ↓ (6.31)
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orenburg-2 55.7%
Draw 27%
Rubin 2 Kazan 17.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.2%
26.2%
14.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
25.3%
14%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg-2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Rubin 2 Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orenburg-2 than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orenburg-2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rubin 2 Kazan than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Galimullin E. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, Gainulin A. R. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 2 - 2, Cherkasov D. ⚽,
69', 3 - 2, Pitintsev Y. ⚽,
83', 3 - 3, Fattakhov L. ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg-2 won 0.
Orenburg-2 has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Rubin 2 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Orenburg-2 holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Orenburg-2 has recorded 0 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:10 (averaging 0.5:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Orenburg-2 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:4 goals (averaging 0.3:1 per game).