RUSSIA: Youth League - Relegation Group - Round 26
Date: 25 October 2024, Friday
Orenburg U19
Krylya Sovetov Samara U19
1
X
2
2.22
4.18
2.1
2.44
4.05
2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)
2.33 ↓ (3.66)
4.12 ↓ (4.4)
2.21 ↑ (1.72)
The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orenburg U19 38.1%
Draw 21.6%
Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 40.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.3%
21%
53.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.1%
20.8%
54.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orenburg U19's performance.
Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg U19 than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orenburg U19 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Krylya Sovetov Samara U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Cherkasov D. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 1 - 1, Razhin Y. ⚽, Leonidov O. (A),
87', Demchenko Y. 🟥,
87', Ivashchenko I. 🟥,
87', Borisov E. 🟥,
90', Mutovkin A. 🟥,
Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Orenburg U19 won 0.
Recent matches Orenburg U19 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Krylya Sovetov U19 is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Krylya Sovetov U19 is a favorite.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Orenburg U19 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 5:16 (average 0.8:2.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Orenburg U19 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).
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