Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D - Round 24

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday


	Oriental		Lagoa

	1	X	2
	2.22	3.25	2.82
	2.21	3.03	3.03
	2.25	3.15	3.02	Watch
	2.25	2.88	3
	2.28	2.92	3.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.29)	3.05 ↓ (3.24)	3 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental
40.3%

Draw
29.6%

Lagoa
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

27.8%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

28.5%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Lagoa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oriental than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lagoa than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Oriental - Lagoa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Oriental is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Lagoa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Oriental won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Lagoa	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube Oriental Lisboa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
22.03.26	Oriental - Alverca B	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Elvas - Oriental	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Oriental - Juventude de Évora	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Louletano - Oriental	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Oriental - Sintrense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTTLT
- Lagoa
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
22.03.26	Lagoa - Atlético da Malveira	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Alverca B - Lagoa	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Lagoa - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Elvas - Lagoa	4:0 ✺
22.02.26	Lagoa - Moncarapachense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
07.12.25	Lagoa - Oriental	6:3

Oriental - Lagoa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide