Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - GROUP D - ROUND 20

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira		Setúbal

	1	X	2
	9	4.8	1.27
	9.5	5	1.25
	10.99	4.8	1.3
	10.7	4.49	1.27
	9.2	4.9	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.88 ↑ (8.86)	4.8 ↑ (4.29)	1.27 ↓ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
9.2%

Draw
19%

Setúbal
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.5%

21.7%

67.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

10.2%

21%

69.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Setúbal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama Vidigueira than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Setúbal than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group (Promotion Group: )).

Recent matches Vasco da Gama is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Setúbal is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Setúbal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Setúbal is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Vasco da Gama won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
10.02.24	Fabril do Barreiro - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	3:0 ✺
04.02.24	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Oriental	1:1 ✺
28.01.24	Juventude de Évora - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	2:2 ✺
21.01.24	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Barreirense	2:1 ✺
14.01.24	Sintrense - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LTTWL
- Vitoria Setúbal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
11.02.24	Setúbal - Lusitano GC	0:1 ✺
04.02.24	Imortal - Setúbal	0:3 ✺
28.01.24	Setúbal - Serpa	3:2 ✺
21.01.24	Moncarapachense - Setúbal	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Setúbal - Real SC	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
28.10.23	Setúbal - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	4:0

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Setúbal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide