Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 11

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Oriental Dragon		Vasco da Gama Vidigueira

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.3	3.25
	1.9	3.05	3.65
	1.97	3.4	3.2
	1.95	3.69	3.3
	2	3.2	3.4
	1.99	3.3	3.4
	2	3.5	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.64)	3.35 ↑ (3.11)	3.36 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriental Dragon
46.1%

Draw
27%

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

29.1%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

29.6%

36.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriental Dragon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oriental Dragon's performance.

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vasco da Gama Vidigueira might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriental Dragon than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oriental Dragon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama Vidigueira than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vasco da Gama Vidigueira could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Oriental Dragon - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Oriental Dragon will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Vasco da Gama will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oriental Dragon: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Oriental Dragon is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vasco da Gama is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriental Dragon FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.12.22	Oriental Dragon - Ferreiras	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Olhanense - Oriental Dragon	3:2 ✺
20.11.22	Oriental Dragon - Fabril do Barreiro	1:2 ✺
13.11.22	Rabo de Peixe - Oriental Dragon	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Oriental Dragon - Angrense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW
- Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.12.22	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Olhanense	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Fabril do Barreiro - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	3:0 ✺
13.11.22	Angrense - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira	1:3 ✺
06.11.22	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Atlético CP	4:1 ✺
23.10.22	Vasco da Gama Vidigueira - Lusitano GC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WLWWT

Oriental Dragon - Vasco da Gama Vidigueira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide