Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs - Final

Date: 26 May 2024, Sunday


	Orihuela		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.8	2.7
	2.65	3	2.7
	2.7	2.87	2.88
	2.7	2.84	2.88
	2.45	3	2.62
	2.5	3	2.63
	2.6	2.85	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↑ (2.54)	2.91 ↑ (2.88)	2.74 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orihuela
35.3%

Draw
31.4%

Barakaldo
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

31%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

32.5%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orihuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-1%)

Orihuela - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Garcia J. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Revilla A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 2 - 1, Bujan E. ⚽,
55', 3 - 1, Revilla A. ⚽,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Orihuela is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Barakaldo in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Barakaldo could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
19.05.24	Badalona Futur - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
12.05.24	Orihuela - Badalona Futur	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.05.24	Orihuela - San Roque de Lepe	3:2 ✺
28.04.24	Racing Cartagena MM - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Orihuela - Linense	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWWTL
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
18.05.24	Barakaldo - Atlético Paso	1:0 ✺
12.05.24	Atlético Paso - Barakaldo	0:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
05.05.24	Barakaldo - Mutilvera	3:0 ✺
28.04.24	Zaragoza B - Barakaldo	0:4 ✺
21.04.24	Barakaldo - Alavés B	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WTWWW

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