Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 34

Date: 5 May 2024, Sunday


	Orihuela		San Roque de Lepe

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.1	4
	1.95	3.2	4
	2.02	2.77	4.65
	1.91	3.19	4.11
	1.88	2.95	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.3)	3.04 ↑ (2.93)	4.21 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orihuela
48%

Draw
30.2%

San Roque de Lepe
21.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

31.2%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

29.4%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orihuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orihuela's performance.

San Roque de Lepe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and San Roque de Lepe might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orihuela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Roque de Lepe than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Roque de Lepe could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Orihuela - San Roque de Lepe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
10', 1 - 0, de las Cuevas M. ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, Chalbaud Alba S. A. ⚽,
24', 2 - 1, Abreu ⚽,
40', 2 - 2, Airam S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
68', 3 - 2, de las Cuevas M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Orihuela is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

San Roque de Lepe is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Orihuela will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Orihuela won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.04.24	Racing Cartagena MM - Orihuela	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	Orihuela - Linense	1:2 ✺
13.04.24	Cadiz CF B - Orihuela	2:3 ✺
07.04.24	Orihuela - Estepona	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Manchego - Orihuela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TLWWL
- San Roque de Lepe
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.04.24	San Roque de Lepe - El Palo	0:0 ✺
21.04.24	UCAM Murcia - San Roque de Lepe	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	San Roque de Lepe - Vélez	1:0 ✺
07.04.24	Sevilla B - San Roque de Lepe	2:1 ✺
30.03.24	Marbella - San Roque de Lepe	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
07.01.24	San Roque de Lepe - Orihuela	0:1

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