Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 33

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday


	Zaragoza B		Barakaldo

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.15
	3	3.2	2.3
	2.95	3.25	2.36
	2.95	3.25	2.36
	3.14	3.07	2.29
	3	3.05	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.6)	3.15 ↑ (3)	2.29 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zaragoza B
30.6%

Draw
29.2%

Barakaldo
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.4%

29.8%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

30.8%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zaragoza B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaragoza B than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Barakaldo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zaragoza B - Barakaldo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Orozco I. ⚽,
30', Keita L. C. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
75', 0 - 2, Fernandez Pacheco A. ⚽,
78', 0 - 3, Pedernales I. ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Zaragoza B is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs

Barakaldo is Qualified for Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Zaragoza B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Zaragoza B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Zaragoza B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zaragoza B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.04.24	Arenas Club de Getxo - Zaragoza B	2:2 ✺
14.04.24	Zaragoza B - San Juan	3:0 ✺
07.04.24	Mutilvera - Zaragoza B	1:3 ✺
31.03.24	Utebo - Zaragoza B	3:2 ✺
24.03.24	Zaragoza B - Alavés B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TWWLW
- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.04.24	Barakaldo - Alavés B	3:2 ✺
13.04.24	Egüés - Barakaldo	1:3 ✺
07.04.24	Barakaldo - Izarra	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Barbastro - Barakaldo	0:2 ✺
24.03.24	Barakaldo - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.12.23	Barakaldo - Zaragoza B	1:0
21.04.13	Zaragoza B - Barakaldo	0:1

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