Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 24

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Orihuela		Navalcarnero

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.08	3.05	3.25
	1.92	3.1	4.35
	2.14	3.16	3.29	Watch
	2.2	2.8	3.3
	2.15	2.94	3.4
	1.86	3.1	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.96)	3.04 ↓ (3.15)	3.59 ↓ (3.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orihuela
44.3%

Draw
30.2%

Navalcarnero
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

28.8%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

28%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orihuela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Navalcarnero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Navalcarnero than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Orihuela - Navalcarnero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Monterde J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
69', 2 - 0, Pipa ⚽,
73', 3 - 0, Solano R. ⚽,
90', 4 - 0, Mozo C. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 10).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Orihuela is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Orihuela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Navalcarnero	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.02.26	Alcalá - Orihuela	0:1 ✺
08.02.26	Orihuela - Socuéllamos	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Quintanar del Rey - Orihuela	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Orihuela - Elche Ilicitano	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Real Madrid C - Orihuela	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLTW
- CDA Navalcarnero
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
15.02.26	Navalcarnero - Intercity	3:1 ✺
08.02.26	Tenerife B - Navalcarnero	3:3 ✺
01.02.26	Navalcarnero - San Sebastian Reyes	0:2 ✺
25.01.26	Las Palmas B - Navalcarnero	3:2 ✺
18.01.26	Navalcarnero - Getafe B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
12.10.25	Navalcarnero - Orihuela	0:0

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