Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 23

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Alcalá		Orihuela

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.2	2.63
	2.38	3.05	2.72
	2.44	3.24	2.85
	2.41	3.17	2.8	Watch
	2.4	3	2.7
	2.49	3.32	2.73
	2.37	3.2	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.29)	3.17 ↑ (3.07)	2.75 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcalá
37.9%

Draw
28.8%

Orihuela
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

29.3%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

29.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Orihuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Alcalá - Orihuela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
54', 0 - 1, Sanchez A. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 8).

Alcalá has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Orihuela has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alcalá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	RSD Alcala	5	2	0	3	10:10	0	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.02.26	Intercity - Alcalá	2:1 ✺
01.02.26	Alcalá - Colonia Moscardó	3:0 ✺
25.01.26	Getafe B - Alcalá	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	Alcalá - San Sebastian Reyes	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Conquense - Alcalá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLTL
- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.02.26	Orihuela - Socuéllamos	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Quintanar del Rey - Orihuela	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Orihuela - Elche Ilicitano	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Real Madrid C - Orihuela	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Intercity - Orihuela	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
30.11.25	Orihuela - Alcalá	0:1

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