Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 21

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Quintanar del Rey		Orihuela

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.25	1.95
	3.4	3	2.05
	3.65	3.05	2.04
	3.69	2.84	2.16	Watch
	3.6	2.9	2
	3.7	2.93	2.05
	3.75	3	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.03)	3 ↑ (2.97)	2.04 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Quintanar del Rey
25.2%

Draw
30.3%

Orihuela
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

30.4%

39.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

29.9%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Quintanar del Rey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Orihuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Quintanar del Rey than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orihuela than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Quintanar del Rey - Orihuela Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Chabo ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
83', 2 - 0, Perez T. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Quintanar del Rey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Quintanar del Rey won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Quintanar del Rey - the odds 3.03 are the expected chance of winning is 29.78%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Orihuela - the odds 2.27 are the expected chance of winning is 39.84%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Quintanar del Rey
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.01.26	Conquense - Quintanar del Rey	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Quintanar del Rey - Rayo Vallecano B	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Coria - Quintanar del Rey	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Quintanar del Rey - Las Palmas B	0:2 ✺
20.12.25	Colonia Moscardó - Quintanar del Rey	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTTLW
- Orihuela CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.01.26	Orihuela - Elche Ilicitano	1:1 ✺
17.01.26	Real Madrid C - Orihuela	1:3 ✺
11.01.26	Intercity - Orihuela	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Orihuela - Colonia Moscardó	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Getafe B - Orihuela	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
26.10.25	Orihuela - Quintanar del Rey	3:1

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