Match Info

CROATIA: Prva NL - Relegation - Final

Date: 14 June 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Krimeja (Rijeka)


	Orijent		Kustošija

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	3.4
	1.93	3.3	3.3
	2.02	3.44	3.32
	2.03	3.44	3.32
	1.91	3.4	3.4
	2.04	3.5	3.46	Watch
	1.95	3.4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2)	3.41 ↑ (3.3)	3.36 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orijent
46.2%

Draw
26.7%

Kustošija
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.2%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

28.1%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orijent has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Kustošija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orijent than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kustošija than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Orijent - Kustošija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Mohorovic P. (G) 29. Bagadur R. 2. Braut F. 10. Crnko E. 16. Faal B. 8. Gajzler N. 17. Monjac M. 4. Mulac D. 14. Muminovic S. 11. Svrljuga A. 18. Valjan K.	33. Kralj K. (G) 22. Bizjak L. 2. Boune M. 9. Guja M. 18. Kukoc M. 15. Markelo J. 20. Mihaljevic I. 17. Puljic A. 4. Starcic M. 5. Suskovic Jakopac F. 11. Vajdovcic F.
Substitutes
3. Bodetic N. 9. Bubnjar A. 6. Lazar F. 45. Margan L. (G) 1. Pehar G. (G) 23. Putnik M. 13. Smirnov Y. 28. Tadejevic M. 21. Zrilic F.	3. Bosnjak P. 6. Horvat I. 8. Islic L. 12. Marusic D. 7. Petkovic F. 13. Popovic N. (G) 10. Sroler M. 16. Zorica J. 14. Zulj M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Gajzler N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 🟨,
50', 🟨,
76', 1 - 1, ⚽,
79', 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Gajzler N. ⚽,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Orijent won 3.

Recent matches Orijent is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kustošija is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Orijent will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Orijent won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Orijent won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Orijent 1919
Croatian Prva NL
09.06.24	Kustošija - Orijent	1:2 ✺
01.06.24	Orijent - Jarun Zagreb	0:0 ✺
25.05.24	Dugopolje - Orijent	0:0 ✺
18.05.24	Orijent - Solin	2:2 ✺
12.05.24	Bijelo Brdo - Orijent	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTTTT
- NK Kustošija
Croatian Prva NL
09.06.24	Kustošija - Orijent	1:2 ✺
Croatian Druga NL
01.06.24	Kustošija - Opatija	1:0 ✺
25.05.24	Belišće - Kustošija	1:6 ✺
18.05.24	Dugo Selo - Kustošija	0:1 ✺
10.05.24	Kustošija - Jadran Poreč	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Croatian Prva NL
09.06.24	Kustošija - Orijent	1:2
05.05.23	Orijent - Kustošija	2:0
08.03.23	Kustošija - Orijent	0:0
30.09.22	Orijent - Kustošija	1:0
23.04.22	Kustošija - Orijent	2:1
24.10.21	Orijent - Kustošija	0:3
20.03.21	Kustošija - Orijent	1:1

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