The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orlando City 56.9%
Draw 21.6%
Atlético San Luis 21.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
63.3%
20.3%
16.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.5%
19.3%
15.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orlando City's form might have worsened.
Atlético San Luis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atlético San Luis's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orlando City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético San Luis than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético San Luis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
66.7%
0%
Orlando City - Atlético San Luis Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Otero J. (G) 19. Taifi Z. 25. Guske C. 57. Iago Teodoro 3. Gomez A. 23. Sarajian H. 80. Gomez I. 16. Cartagena W. 11. Tiago 87. Pasalic M. 9. Dike D.
25. Lajud M. G. (G) 14. Garcia M. 30. Galindo B. 18. Cruz A. (C) 26. Perez S. 13. Caicedo J. 8. Najera R. 16. Lucas Esteves 17. Duarte A. 20. Flores L. 19. Munoz S.
Substitutes
77. Angulo I. 4. Brekalo D. 65. Caraballo G. 71. Crepeau M. (G) 24. Dorsey G. 22. Ellis J. 35. Gerbet J. 7. Griezmann A. 38. Haruna I. 40. Himes T. (G) 6. Jansson R. 14. Spicer T.
31. Aguila E. 7. Galdames B. 22. Llorente R. 23. Lopez De Alba C. I. (G) 21. Macias O. 192. Molina Y. 99. Mora F. 242. Reyes A. 11. Rodriguez D. 10. Salles-Lamonge S. 1. Sanchez A. (G) 2. Torres R.
Coaches
Perelman M.
Mejia D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Duarte A. 🟨,
17', Cartagena W. 🟨,
31', 1 - 0, Dike D. ⚽,
35', Iago Teodoro 🟨,
40', Caicedo J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Pasalic M. ↓, Caraballo G. ↑,
53', Lucas Esteves ↓, Galdames B. ↑,
59', Dike D. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
68', Gomez I. ↓, Haruna I. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Ellis J. ⚽, Tiago (A),
71', Munoz S. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
75', Sarajian H. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
75', Cartagena W. ↓, Gerbet J. ↑,
77', Garcia M. ↓, Aguila E. ↑,
77', Najera R. ↓, Salles-Lamonge S. ↑,
77', Flores L. ↓, Mora F. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Perez S. ⚽,
87', Galdames B. 🟨,
90+7', 2 - 2, Rodriguez D. ⚽,
90+7', Otero J. 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 3)
1, Griezmann A. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Salles-Lamonge S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Ellis J. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Mora F. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Caraballo G. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Galdames B. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Iago Teodoro (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
5, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In recent matches, Orlando City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Atlético San Luis has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Orlando City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Orlando City is a strong favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Orlando City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Including home match between the teams, Orlando City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.