The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orlando City 44.1%
Draw 26.3%
Los Angeles Galaxy 29.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.4%
27.3%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.3%
26.8%
22.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orlando City's form might have worsened.
Los Angeles Galaxy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Los Angeles Galaxy's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orlando City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles Galaxy than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Los Angeles Galaxy, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Orlando City - Los Angeles Galaxy Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 13).
Orlando City has the most likely position - 12 (9.28%), project points - 44, currently - 11, a chance of playoffs (50%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (1%).
LA Galaxy has the most likely position - 7 (8.67%), project points - 45, currently - 6, a good chance of playoffs (65%), a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), a very small chance of win league (3%).
This event has quality41, small importance21, match rating31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Orlando City won 2.
Recent matches Orlando City is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
LA Galaxy is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Orlando City will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Orlando City: Halliday M.
(Injury)
There will not play in LA Galaxy: Bond J.
(Injury)
Mavinga C.
(Injury)
Last 6 head-to-head matches Orlando City won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-10.
Including matches at home between the teams Orlando City won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-2.