The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Philadelphia Union 59.5%
Draw 20.3%
Orlando City 20.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.3%
19.3%
16.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.8%
18.3%
15.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Union than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Philadelphia Union, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Philadelphia Union - Orlando City Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.25 - Philadelphia (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Philadelphia Union will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Philadelphia (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
76. Rick A. (G) 16. Bender B. 5. Sery Larsen J. 26. Harriel N. (C) 27. Wagner K. 33. Sullivan Q. 8. Bueno J. 4. Lukic J. 19. Vassilev I. 10. Iloski M. 9. Damiani B.
71. Crepeau M. (G) 19. Taifi Z. 57. Iago Teodoro 6. Jansson R. (C) 44. Rhein B. 10. Ojeda M. 20. Atuesta E. 35. Gerbet J. 77. Angulo I. 7. Griezmann A. 9. Dike D.
Substitutes
23. Alladoh E. 28. Anello A. 11. Bedoya A. 68. Griffin J. 31. Marks G. (G) 2. Martinez G. 14. Rafanello J. 66. Sundstrom F. 40. Uzcategui R.
65. Caraballo G. 3. Gomez A. 70. Hylton J. 5. Luis Otavio 21. Miller N. 12. Otero J. (G) 23. Sarajian H. 11. Tiago 27. Vinicius Nogueira
Coaches
Richter R.
Perelman M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Iloski M. (Penalty Awarded),
12', Atuesta E. 🟨,
19', 2 - 0, Iloski M. ⚽, Vassilev I. (A),
37', Iago Teodoro 🟨,
43', Gerbet J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 3 - 0, Vassilev I. ⚽, Bueno J. (A),
51', 4 - 0, Iloski M. ⚽, Vassilev I. (A),
54', Rhein B. ↓, Sarajian H. ↑,
54', Gerbet J. ↓, Luis Otavio ↑,
54', Taifi Z. ↓, Vinicius Nogueira ↑,
62', Sullivan Q. 🟨,
77', Sery Larsen J. 🟨,
78', 4 - 1, Angulo I. ⚽, Griezmann A. (A),
79', Sullivan Q. ↓, Bedoya A. ↑,
79', Iloski M. ↓, Anello A. ↑,
84', Angulo I. 🟨,
85', Damiani B. ↓, Alladoh E. ↑,
85', Vassilev I. ↓, Rafanello J. ↑,
89', Dike D. ↓, Tiago ↑,
90', 4 - 2, Ojeda M. ⚽, Sarajian H. (A),
90+1', Bender B. ↓, Griffin J. ↑,
Preview
A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 6th in the Promotion ~ MLS Playoffs1/8~finals) and 7th in the Promotion ~ MLS Playoffs1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 1.
Philadelphia has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Orlando City has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Orlando City may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Philadelphia is considered the favorite to take the win.
Confirmed absences for Philadelphia: Blake A.
(International duty)
Jean Jacques D.
(International duty)
Ndinga P.
(Hamstring Injury)
Pierre N.
(International duty)
Sullivan C.
(International duty)
Westfield F.
(International duty).
Confirmed absences for Orlando City: Brekalo D.
(International duty)
Cartagena W.
(International duty)
Ellis J.
(International duty)
Miller N.
(Knee Injury)
Ojeda B.
(Foot Injury)
Pasalic M.
(International duty)
Spicer T.
(International duty).
Doubtful / questionable for Orlando City: Dorsey G.
(Back Injury)
Griezmann A.
(Thigh Injury).
Our forecast points to a victory for Philadelphia in today's match, at odds of 1.46.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Philadelphia has recorded 7 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:32 (averaging 2:1.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Philadelphia against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 21:13 goals (averaging 2.1:1.3 per game).
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Rick A. (G) 
Sery Larsen J. 
Wagner K. 
Bueno J. 
Lukic J. 
Damiani B. 
Crepeau M. (G) 
Iago Teodoro 
Jansson R. (C) 
Ojeda M. 
Atuesta E. 
Gerbet J. 
Alladoh E. 
Gomez A. 
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