The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orlando City 57.1%
Draw 21.4%
DC United 21.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
54.5%
22.7%
22.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.2%
19.7%
26.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-9.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Orlando City - DC United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
71. Crepeau M. (G) 19. Taifi Z. 4. Brekalo D. 57. Iago Teodoro 77. Angulo I. 5. Luis Otavio 16. Cartagena W. 20. Atuesta E. 7. Griezmann A. 10. Ojeda M. (C) 9. Dike D.
1. Johnson S. (G) 5. Hefti S. 13. Nealis S. 15. Rowles K. 6. Kurokawa K. 2. Nono K. 21. Dozzell A. 23. Servania B. 7. Peglow 9. Baribo T. (C) 8. Stroud J.
Substitutes
22. Ellis J. 35. Gerbet J. 3. Gomez A. 21. Miller N. 8. Ojeda B. 12. Otero J. (G) 87. Pasalic M. 23. Sarajian H. 11. Tiago
12. Antley C. 32. Avilez O. 26. Bono A. (G) 40. Castillo K. 25. Hopkins J. 27. Markovic N. 22. Ordaz N. 4. Peltola M. 48. Turner G.
Coaches
Perelman M.
Weiler R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Griezmann A. ⚽, Ojeda M. (A),
22', 2 - 0, Ojeda M. ⚽, Griezmann A. (A),
38', Luis Otavio 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 1, Baribo T. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Cartagena W. ↓, Gerbet J. ↑,
46', Stroud J. ↓, Hopkins J. ↑,
50', 3 - 1, Griezmann A. ⚽,
65', Servania B. ↓, Avilez O. ↑,
70', Atuesta E. ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
70', Luis Otavio ↓, Ojeda B. ↑,
70', Dike D. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
77', Nono K. 🟨,
78', Hefti S. ↓, Peltola M. ↑,
78', Peglow ↓, Ordaz N. ↑,
82', Hopkins J. 🟨,
86', Ojeda M. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
89', Baribo T. 🟨,
90+5', 4 - 1, Pasalic M. ⚽, Ellis J. (A),
Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 7th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 3.
Both teams are currently going through a difficult patch of form.
Recently, Orlando City has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to Orlando City for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Orlando City has recorded 9 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 39:34 (averaging 2:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Orlando City against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 23:15 goals (averaging 2.6:1.7 per game).
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Crepeau M. (G) 
Taifi Z. 
Brekalo D. 
Iago Teodoro 
Angulo I. 
Cartagena W. 
Griezmann A. 
Ojeda M. (C) 
Hefti S. 
Rowles K. 
Kurokawa K. 
Dozzell A. 
Baribo T. (C) 
Gomez A. 
Ojeda B. 
Otero J. (G) 
Pasalic M. 
Castillo K. 
Ordaz N. 
Peltola M. 
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