Match Info

MLS

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Bank of America Stadium (Charlotte, NC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	TSN 3
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Charlotte		Orlando City

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.7	2.15	Watch
	2.55	3.7	2.4
	3.07	3.71	2.18	Watch
	3.2	3.8	2.27
				Watch
	2.6	3.6	2.45
	3.03	3.77	2.24	Watch
	2.65	3.7	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.42)	3.71 ↑ (3.66)	2.31 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Charlotte
33%

Draw
25.7%

Orlando City
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

26%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

27%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Charlotte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Charlotte's form might have worsened.

Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orlando City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orlando City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.1%	53.8%	23.1%

Charlotte - Orlando City Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Charlotte will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Orlando City will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Charlotte (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Charlotte (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kahlina K. (G) 35. Scardina N. 29. Malanda A. 6. Tuiloma B. 2. Marshall-Rutty J. 28. Diani D. 8. Westwood A. (C) 13. Bronico B. 16. Biel P. 17. Toklomati I. 18. Calderon Vargas K. A.	1. Gallese P. (G) 17. Thorhallsson D. 15. Schlegel R. 6. Jansson R. (C) 4. Brekalo D. 87. Pasalic M. 20. Atuesta E. 5. Araujo C. 10. Ojeda M. 9. Muriel L. 7. Enrique R.
Substitutes
11. Abada L. 22. Bingham D. (G) 36. Cambridge B. 40. Forbes J. 39. Neeley J. 23. Petkovic N. 4. Privett A. 25. Smalls T. 19. Williamson E.	77. Angulo I. 25. Guske C. 23. Mohammed S. 12. Otero J. (G) 3. Rafael Santos 11. Rodriguez N. 24. Smith K. 96. Taifi Z. 68. Williams T.
Coaches
Smith D.	Pareja O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Brekalo D. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Biel P. ⚽, Scardina N. (A), Tuiloma B. (A2)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', Toklomati I. 🟨,
64', Gallese P. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Tuiloma B. ⚽, Biel P. (A),
66', Thorhallsson D. ↓, Angulo I. ↑,
68', Westwood A. 🟨,
69', 2 - 1, Enrique R. ⚽, Ojeda M. (A), Muriel L. (A2)
71', Diani D. ↓, Smalls T. ↑,
75', Jansson R. 🟨,
78', Jansson R. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
80', Calderon Vargas K. A. ↓, Abada L. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Pasalic M. ⚽, Muriel L. (A), Ojeda M. (A2)
84', Tuiloma B. ↓, Privett A. ↑,
90+6', Araujo C. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 1.

Charlotte is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Orlando City has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Charlotte has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Charlotte: Agyemang P. (International duty) Ream T. (International duty) Zaha W. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Freeman A. (International duty) Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Charlotte: Doumbia S. (Injury)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Charlotte FC
MLS
28.06.25	Chicago Fire - Charlotte	3:2 ✺
25.06.25	Sporting Kansas City - Charlotte	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Philadelphia Union - Charlotte	2:1 ✺
31.05.25	Toronto FC - Charlotte	0:2 ✺
28.05.25	New York Red Bulls - Charlotte	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLLWL
- Orlando City
MLS
28.06.25	Orlando City - Cincinnati	1:2 ✺
25.06.25	St. Louis City - Orlando City	2:4 ✺
14.06.25	Colorado Rapids - Orlando City	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Orlando City - Chicago Fire	1:3 ✺
28.05.25	Atlanta United - Orlando City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
14.05.25	Orlando City - Charlotte	3:1
09.11.24	Orlando City - Charlotte	2:1 penalties
01.11.24	Charlotte - Orlando City	1:0 penalties
27.10.24	Orlando City - Charlotte	2:0
18.09.24	Orlando City - Charlotte	2:0
19.06.24	Charlotte - Orlando City	2:2
30.08.23	Charlotte - Orlando City	1:1

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