The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orlando City 51.3%
Draw 22.4%
Real Salt Lake 26.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.5%
24.2%
36.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40%
23.9%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.
Real Salt Lake has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Salt Lake might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlando City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Salt Lake than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Salt Lake could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.8%
9.1%
9.1%
Orlando City - Real Salt Lake Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 9 - 81.8%). Salt Lake will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Orlando City: 59% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
71. Crepeau M. (G) 24. Dorsey G. 4. Brekalo D. 6. Jansson R. (C) 19. Taifi Z. 87. Pasalic M. 5. Luis Otavio 20. Atuesta E. 77. Angulo I. 11. Tiago 7. Griezmann A.
31. Stajduhar M. (G) 11. Marczuk D. 3. Henry K. 21. Arias J. J. 29. Junqua S. 98. Katranis A. 70. Lineker Rodrigues 7. Ruiz P. 34. Moisa L. 39. Hezarkhani A. 17. Olatunji V.
Substitutes
65. Caraballo G. 16. Cartagena W. 9. Dike D. 22. Ellis J. 35. Gerbet J. 57. Iago Teodoro 12. Otero J. (G) 23. Sarajian H. 14. Spicer T.
92. Caliskan N. 4. Engel L. 9. Guilavogui M. 25. Guske C. 12. Lobjanidze S. 10. Luna D. 26. Quinton P. 1. Rafael Cabral (G) 8. Sanabria J.
Coaches
Perelman M.
Mastroeni P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Marczuk D. ⚽, Junqua S. (A),
43', Lineker Rodrigues 🟨,
45+4', Katranis A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tiago ↓, Dike D. ↑,
46', Pasalic M. ↓, Ellis J. ↑,
46', Luis Otavio ↓, Gerbet J. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Griezmann A. ⚽,
61', Hezarkhani A. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
62', Marczuk D. ↓, Lobjanidze S. ↑,
62', Olatunji V. ↓, Guilavogui M. ↑,
67', Moisa L. ↓, Caliskan N. ↑,
69', Taifi Z. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
71', Henry K. 🟨,
77', Katranis A. ↓, Sanabria J. ↑,
81', 2 - 1, Griezmann A. ⚽,
82', Atuesta E. 🟨,
85', Atuesta E. ↓, Cartagena W. ↑,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
Orlando City will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Orlando City: Miller N.
(Knee Injury)
Ojeda B.
(Foot Injury)
There will not play in Salt Lake: Dillon G.
(Foot Injury)
Eneli E.
(Knee Injury)
Piol A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
There are questionable in Orlando City: Ojeda M.
(Thigh Injury)
Rhein B.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Salt Lake: Booth Z.
(Hamstring Injury)
Glad J.
(Groin Injury)
Guilavogui M.
(Head Injury)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
Last Results with these Odds
Real Salt Lake - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 36.28%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.