Match Info

MLS

Date: 16 July 2025, Wednesday

Location: Inter&Co Stadium (Orlando, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Orlando City		New York City

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.5	Watch
	1.71	3.9	4.4
	1.72	3.95	4.45	Watch
	1.74	4	4.8
				Watch
	1.75	3.9	4.2
	1.75	3.9	4.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.66)	3.94 ↓ (4.12)	4.5 ↓ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Orlando City
54.9%

Draw
24.1%

New York City
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

23.2%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

22.7%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Orlando City - New York City Predictions

Users Predictions: Orlando City will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Orlando City will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gallese P. (G) 30. Freeman A. 15. Schlegel R. 6. Jansson R. 4. Brekalo D. 87. Pasalic M. 20. Atuesta E. 5. Araujo C. 77. Angulo I. 9. Muriel L. 10. Ojeda M.	49. Freese M. (G) 19. Tanasijevic S. 13. Thiago Martins (C) 80. Haak J. 22. O'Toole K. 10. Moralez M. 21. O'Neill A. 8. Perea A. 26. Ojeda A. 16. Martinez A. 17. Wolf H.
Substitutes
65. Caraballo G. 7. Enrique R. 25. Guske C. 12. Otero J. (G) 3. Rafael Santos 11. Rodriguez N. 24. Smith K. 96. Taifi Z. 17. Thorhallsson D.	9. Bakrar M. 29. Carrizo M. 2. Cavallo N. 11. Fernandez J. 99. Garfield Reid S. 24. Gray T. 81. Musu S. 30. Romero T. (G) 32. Shore J.
Coaches
Pareja O.	Jansen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Jansson R. ⚽, Brekalo D. (A), Ojeda M. (A2)
39', Tanasijevic S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Ojeda A. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
46', Tanasijevic S. ↓, Gray T. ↑,
60', Araujo C. 🟨,
64', Muriel L. ↓, Enrique R. ↑,
70', Moralez M. ↓, Bakrar M. ↑,
74', Angulo I. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
74', Pasalic M. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,
84', Ojeda M. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
85', O'Neill A. 🟨,
85', O'Neill A. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
86', Wolf H. ↓, Garfield Reid S. ↑,
87', 1 - 1, Smith K. (Own goal),
90+1', 1 - 2, Martinez A. ⚽, Fernandez J. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Orlando City is the team to beat.

There will not play in Orlando City: Cartagena W. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Gerbet J. (Muscle Injury) McGuire D. (Shoulder Injury) Tsukada Y. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in NY City: Jones M. (Broken Leg) Parks K. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Orlando City: Jansson R. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 21:37. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.1:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando City
MLS
12.07.25	Orlando City - CF Montréal	1:1 ✺
05.07.25	Charlotte - Orlando City	2:2 ✺
28.06.25	Orlando City - Cincinnati	1:2 ✺
25.06.25	St. Louis City - Orlando City	2:4 ✺
14.06.25	Colorado Rapids - Orlando City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TTLWW
- New York City FC
MLS
12.07.25	Charlotte - New York City	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	New York City - Toronto FC	3:1 ✺
28.06.25	CF Montréal - New York City	1:0 ✺
12.06.25	New York City - Atlanta United	4:0 ✺
31.05.25	Nashville SC - New York City	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

MLS
08.03.25	New York City - Orlando City	2:1
20.07.24	Orlando City - New York City	1:1
28.06.24	New York City - Orlando City	4:2
20.09.23	New York City - Orlando City	2:0
17.05.23	Orlando City - New York City	1:1
02.10.22	New York City - Orlando City	2:1
28.08.22	Orlando City - New York City	2:1

Upcoming Matches