The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orlando City 41.2%
Draw 24.6%
New York City 34.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
43%
24%
33%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.8%
24.1%
33.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
New York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Orlando City - New York City Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
71. Crepeau M. (G) 77. Angulo I. 4. Brekalo D. 57. Iago Teodoro 27. Vinicius Nogueira 8. Ojeda B. 16. Cartagena W. 20. Atuesta E. 7. Griezmann A. 10. Ojeda M. (C) 22. Ellis J.
49. Freese M. (G) 24. Gray T. 13. Thiago Martins (C) 6. Sands J. 22. O'Toole K. 21. O'Neill A. 8. Perea A. 26. Ojeda A. 7. Mercau N. 17. Wolf H. 16. Martinez A.
Substitutes
9. Dike D. 35. Gerbet J. 3. Gomez A. 21. Miller N. 12. Otero J. (G) 87. Pasalic M. 44. Rhein B. 23. Sarajian H. 19. Taifi Z.
2. Cavallo N. 88. Jones M. 20. Luighi 3. Miazga M. 34. Raul Gustavo 30. Romero T. (G) 32. Shore J. 11. Talles Magno 9. Traore B.
Coaches
Perelman M.
Jansen P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Martinez A. ⚽, Wolf H. (A),
28', Freese M. ↓, Romero T. ↑,
32', 1 - 1, Griezmann A. ⚽, Ojeda M. (A),
38', Vinicius Nogueira 🟨,
44', Sands J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Ojeda B. ↓, Gerbet J. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Ojeda M. ⚽, Vinicius Nogueira (A),
60', Ellis J. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
63', Iago Teodoro 🟨,
71', Vinicius Nogueira ↓, Gomez A. ↑,
71', Ojeda A. ↓, Talles Magno ↑,
71', O'Neill A. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
71', Iago Teodoro ↓, Taifi Z. ↑,
78', Cartagena W. 🟨,
81', Talles Magno (Penalty Awarded),
82', Wolf H. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
82', Martinez A. ↓, Jones M. ↑,
83', Ojeda M. ↓, Dike D. ↑,
86', Atuesta E. 🟨,
90+9', 2 - 2, Shore J. ⚽, Sands J. (A),
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 7th in the Promotion - MLS Playoffs - 1/8 - finals and 12th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 0.
Orlando City has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
NY City has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Orlando City is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
Confirmed absences for Orlando City: Jansson R.
(Foot Injury)
Luis Otavio
(Yellow Cards)
Spicer T.
(Foot Injury).
Confirmed absences for NY City: Baiera D.
(Knee Injury)
Farnos A.
(Leg Injury)
Moralez M.
(Knee Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for Orlando City: Dorsey G.
(Back Injury)
Rhein B.
(Injury)
Vinicius Nogueira
(Shoulder Injury).
Doubtful / questionable for NY City: Parks K.
(Leg Injury)
Trewin K.
(Ankle Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Orlando City has recorded 3 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:40 (averaging 1:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Orlando City against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:13 goals (averaging 1.2:1.3 per game).
Outrights of MLS for now
Orlando City: 1.81% New York City: 0.58%
Last Results with these Odds
Orlando City - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.96%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
New York City - the odds 2.86 are the expected chance of winning is 33.05%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.