The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orlando City 65.5%
Draw 18.8%
Sporting Kansas City 15.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.7%
20.9%
14.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.4%
20.1%
13.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Sporting Kansas City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
95.8%
4.2%
0%
Orlando City - Sporting Kansas City Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Orlando City will win
(22 of 23 users predict this - 95.65%). Confidence interval (95%): 87.31% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gallese P. (G) 17. Thorhallsson D. 15. Schlegel R. 6. Jansson R. 4. Brekalo D. 87. Pasalic M. 20. Atuesta E. 24. Smith K. 14. Spicer T. 9. Muriel L. 10. Ojeda M.
1. Pulskamp J. (G) 11. Shelton K. 4. Voloder R. 15. Miller J. 14. Leibold T. 93. Suleymanov S. 22. Bassong Z. 17. Davis J. 7. Munoz S. 9. Joveljic D. 13. Toye M.
Substitutes
77. Angulo I. 7. Enrique R. 30. Freeman A. 35. Gerbet J. 25. Guske C. 21. Marin A. 12. Otero J. (G) 11. Rodriguez N. 96. Taifi Z.
30. Afrifa S. 16. Bartlett J. 3. Brody A. 23. Montes A. 6. Radoja N. 8. Rodriguez M. 10. Salloi D. 36. Schewe R. (G)
Coaches
Pareja O.
Zavagnin K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Spicer T. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Joveljic D. ⚽, Toye M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Smith K. ↓, Freeman A. ↑,
58', Toye M. ↓, Salloi D. ↑,
68', Leibold T. ↓, Radoja N. ↑,
68', Munoz S. ↓, Bartlett J. ↑,
71', Muriel L. ↓, Enrique R. ↑,
72', Pasalic M. ↓, Angulo I. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Enrique R. ⚽, Ojeda M. (A),
78', Spicer T. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
81', Suleymanov S. ↓, Afrifa S. ↑,
81', Miller J. ↓, Montes A. ↑,
83', 3 - 1, Rodriguez N. ⚽,
86', Atuesta E. ↓, Gerbet J. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 2.
Orlando City is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Kansas City has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Kansas City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Orlando City is the undeniable favorite.
There will not play in Orlando City: Araujo C.
(Yellow Cards)
Cartagena W.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Gerbet J.
(Muscle Injury)
McGuire D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tsukada Y.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Kansas City: Fernandez J.
(Inactive)
Thommy E.
(Hip Injury)
There are questionable in Kansas City: Rosero D.
(Ankle Injury)
We predict that Orlando City will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Orlando City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Orlando City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).
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Gallese P. (G) 
Thorhallsson D. 
Schlegel R. 
Jansson R. 
Brekalo D. 
Pasalic M. 
Atuesta E. 
Smith K. 
Spicer T. 
Voloder R. 
Suleymanov S. 
Bassong Z. 
Munoz S. 
Joveljic D. 
Gerbet J. 
Marin A. 
Otero J. (G) 
Salloi D. 
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