Match Info

Leagues Cup - Round 3

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Inter&Co Stadium (Orlando, FL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV


	Orlando City		Necaxa

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.5	5	Watch
	1.73	3.75	3.6
	1.55	4.55	4.95	Watch
	1.55	4.74	4.99
	1.84	4.05	3.67	Watch
	1.56	4.5	5.08	Watch
	1.77	3.9	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.85)	4.28 ↑ (3.78)	4.45 ↑ (3.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Orlando City
56.9%

Draw
21.9%

Necaxa
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

24.6%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

23.7%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlando City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlando City's performance.

Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlando City than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Orlando City - Necaxa Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Orlando City will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Necaxa will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 3 - 60%). Necaxa (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Necaxa (2.08) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Orlando City (votes: 3 - 50%). Necaxa (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gallese P. (G) 30. Freeman A. 15. Schlegel R. 6. Jansson R. 4. Brekalo D. 87. Pasalic M. 24. Smith K. 5. Araujo C. 77. Angulo I. 9. Muriel L. 10. Ojeda M.	22. Unsain E. (G) 5. Jacob T. 4. Pena A. 14. De Buen D. 29. Rodriguez I. 7. Rosero K. 8. Palavecino A. 21. Rojas J. 11. Sanchez R. 27. Cambindo D. 9. Badaloni T.
Substitutes
7. Enrique R. 25. Guske C. 74. Judelson D. 95. Loyola F. 99. Mercado C. (G) 12. Otero J. (G) 3. Rafael Santos 44. Rhein B. 11. Rodriguez N. 96. Taifi Z. 17. Thorhallsson D. 68. Williams T.	13. Andrade A. 201. Castaneda Acosta E. J. 17. Cortez R. 19. Gomez D. 6. Jesus Alcantar 12. Jimenez L. (G) 2. Martinez E. 30. Monreal R. 210. Palacios J. 15. Perez P. 24. Rossano F. 199. Santoyo J.
Coaches
Pareja O.	Gago F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (4 - 0)
5', Brekalo D. 🟨,
14', 1 - 0, Ojeda M. ⚽, Freeman A. (A),
35', 2 - 0, Muriel L. ⚽, Araujo C. (A),
37', 3 - 0, Muriel L. ⚽, Angulo I. (A),
45+1', 4 - 0, Muriel L. ⚽, Ojeda M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sanchez R. ↓, Andrade A. ↑,
46', Rodriguez I. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
46', Rojas J. ↓, Rossano F. ↑,
46', Cambindo D. ↓, Cortez R. ↑,
46', Palavecino A. ↓, Monreal R. ↑,
51', 5 - 0, Ojeda M. ⚽, Angulo I. (A),
63', Muriel L. ↓, Enrique R. ↑,
63', Pasalic M. ↓, Rodriguez N. ↑,
68', Monreal R. 🟨,
69', Smith K. 🟨,
71', 5 - 1, Pena A. ⚽, Rossano F. (A),
88', Smith K. ↓, Thorhallsson D. ↑,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Orlando City is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Orlando City - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.25%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlando City
CONCACAF League Cup
02.08.25	Orlando City - Atlas	3:1 ✺
30.07.25	UNAM - Orlando City	2:1 penalties ✺
MLS
25.07.25	Columbus Crew - Orlando City	1:3 ✺
19.07.25	New England Revolution - Orlando City	1:2 ✺
16.07.25	Orlando City - New York City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WLWWL
- Club Necaxa
CONCACAF League Cup
02.08.25	Inter Miami - Necaxa	3:2 penalties ✺
30.07.25	Necaxa - Atlanta United	3:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
26.07.25	Necaxa - Club América	1:1 ✺
18.07.25	Necaxa - Querétaro	3:1 ✺
12.07.25	Toluca - Necaxa	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LWTWL

Upcoming Matches