Match Info

MLS

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, KS)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	Sporting Kansas City		New York City

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.5	Watch
	2.45	3.7	2.55
	2.48	3.7	2.65	Watch
	2.7	3.8	2.58
	2.64	3.44	2.54	Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.5
	2.58	3.59	2.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.79)	3.6 ↑ (3.3)	2.57 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Kansas City
36.6%

Draw
26.4%

New York City
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

28.7%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

28.8%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Kansas City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Kansas City than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	36.4%	36.4%

Sporting Kansas City - New York City Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Kansas City will win (votes: 2 - 20%). NY City will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. NY City (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pulskamp J. (G) 3. Brody A. 15. Miller J. 24. Fernandez J. 18. Ndenbe L. 16. Bartlett J. 21. Garcia M. 6. Radoja N. 93. Suleymanov S. 9. Joveljic D. 10. Salloi D.	49. Freese M. (G) 24. Gray T. 13. Thiago Martins 80. Haak J. 22. O'Toole K. 10. Moralez M. 21. O'Neill A. 32. Shore J. 11. Fernandez J. 16. Martinez A. 8. Perea A.
Substitutes
22. Bassong Z. 17. Davis J. 2. James I. 14. Leibold T. 7. Munoz S. 8. Rodriguez M. 36. Schewe R. (G) 11. Shelton K. 13. Toye M.	29. Carrizo M. 2. Cavallo N. 99. Garfield Reid S. 35. Ilenic M. 23. Murray M. 81. Musu S. 26. Ojeda A. 30. Romero T. (G) 19. Tanasijevic S.
Coaches
Zavagnin K.	Jansen P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Perea A. ⚽, Moralez M. (A), Thiago Martins (A2)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Brody A. ↓, Shelton K. ↑,
46', Radoja N. ↓, Bassong Z. ↑,
47', Bassong Z. 🟨,
65', Shore J. ↓, Ojeda A. ↑,
66', Bartlett J. 🟨,
67', Bartlett J. ↓, Munoz S. ↑,
67', Garcia M. ↓, Davis J. ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Salloi D. ⚽,
76', O'Toole K. ↓, Cavallo N. ↑,
77', Fernandez J. ↓, Musu S. ↑,
77', Martinez A. ↓, Garfield Reid S. ↑,
87', Suleymanov S. ↓, Toye M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

NY City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kansas City has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Kansas City: Rosero D. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in NY City: Jones M. (Broken Leg) Parks K. (Leg Injury)

There are questionable in Kansas City: Voloder R. (Collarbone injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kansas City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Kansas City
MLS
12.07.25	Sporting Kansas City - Seattle Sounders	2:3 ✺
04.07.25	Colorado Rapids - Sporting Kansas City	1:2 ✺
28.06.25	Sporting Kansas City - Real Salt Lake	1:1 ✺
25.06.25	Sporting Kansas City - Charlotte	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Sporting Kansas City - FC Dallas	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWTWL
- New York City FC
MLS
16.07.25	Orlando City - New York City	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Charlotte - New York City	2:0 ✺
03.07.25	New York City - Toronto FC	3:1 ✺
28.06.25	CF Montréal - New York City	1:0 ✺
12.06.25	New York City - Atlanta United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
07.05.22	New York City - Sporting Kansas City	0:0
26.07.19	New York City - Sporting Kansas City	3:1
04.03.18	Sporting Kansas City - New York City	0:2
06.09.17	New York City - Sporting Kansas City	1:0
Visit Tucson Sun Cup
25.02.17	New York City - Sporting Kansas City	1:0
MLS
10.07.16	Sporting Kansas City - New York City	3:1
28.03.15	New York City - Sporting Kansas City	0:1

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